Latest ensemble forecasts and high-resolution model guidance from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF point to a daily maximum of 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 18, with mostly cloudy skies, light to moderate westerly winds, and minimal precipitation risk keeping temperatures from deviating far from the long-term September average of roughly 18.9°C. Recent model runs have shown little spread or trend shift, reinforcing trader consensus around these two outcomes while downweighting extremes below 17°C or above 20°C. The implied probabilities reflect both the narrow uncertainty range typical for a one-day temperature market this close to resolution and the stable synoptic pattern of mild Atlantic flow dominating the North Sea region.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 18?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 18?
19°C 60%
18°C 38%
20°C 3%
17°C 3%
BARU
$11,170 Vol.
BARU
$11,170 Vol.
Sep 18, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
38%
19°C
60%
20°C
3%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 60%
18°C 38%
20°C 3%
17°C 3%
BARU
$11,170 Vol.
BARU
$11,170 Vol.
Sep 18, 2026
13°C or below
$149 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$149 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$229 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$154 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$930 Vol.
3%
18°C
$2,859 Vol.
38%
19°C
$4,082 Vol.
60%
20°C
$1,207 Vol.
3%
21°C
$472 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$149 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$789 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts and high-resolution model guidance from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF point to a daily maximum of 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 18, with mostly cloudy skies, light to moderate westerly winds, and minimal precipitation risk keeping temperatures from deviating far from the long-term September average of roughly 18.9°C. Recent model runs have shown little spread or trend shift, reinforcing trader consensus around these two outcomes while downweighting extremes below 17°C or above 20°C. The implied probabilities reflect both the narrow uncertainty range typical for a one-day temperature market this close to resolution and the stable synoptic pattern of mild Atlantic flow dominating the North Sea region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$11,170Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts and high-resolution model guidance from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF point to a daily maximum of 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 18, with mostly cloudy skies, light to moderate westerly winds, and minimal precipitation risk keeping temperatures from deviating far from the long-term September average of roughly 18.9°C. Recent model runs have shown little spread or trend shift, reinforcing trader consensus around these two outcomes while downweighting extremes below 17°C or above 20°C. The implied probabilities reflect both the narrow uncertainty range typical for a one-day temperature market this close to resolution and the stable synoptic pattern of mild Atlantic flow dominating the North Sea region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,170Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts and high-resolution model guidance from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF point to a daily maximum of 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 18, with mostly cloudy skies, light to moderate westerly winds, and minimal precipitation risk keeping temperatures from deviating far from the long-term September average of roughly 18.9°C. Recent model runs have shown little spread or trend shift, reinforcing trader consensus around these two outcomes while downweighting extremes below 17°C or above 20°C. The implied probabilities reflect both the narrow uncertainty range typical for a one-day temperature market this close to resolution and the stable synoptic pattern of mild Atlantic flow dominating the North Sea region.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan