Persistent autumn rain (秋雨期) onset around September 15, with above-average precipitation expected through mid-September, is suppressing maximum temperatures in Chongqing below the typical late-summer baseline of 27–29 °C. Official forecasts show widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 85–90 %, light winds, and rain probabilities exceeding 80 % on the 17th, limiting daytime heating and pointing to highs clustered around 20–23 °C. Model consensus across sources remains tight on this range, with limited upside potential absent a rapid clearing trend. Traders are therefore concentrating implied probability on the 21 °C-or-below, 22 °C, and 23 °C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty only in exact peak timing amid ongoing precipitation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 17?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 17?
21°C or below 32%
23°C 26%
22°C 24%
24°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Sep 17, 2026
21°C or below
32%
22°C
24%
23°C
26%
24°C
14%
25°C
6%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
21°C or below 32%
23°C 26%
22°C 24%
24°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Sep 17, 2026
21°C or below
$1,835 Vol.
32%
22°C
$539 Vol.
24%
23°C
$90 Vol.
26%
24°C
$252 Vol.
14%
25°C
$135 Vol.
6%
26°C
$66 Vol.
3%
27°C
$0 Vol.
3%
28°C
$96 Vol.
1%
29°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$171 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent autumn rain (秋雨期) onset around September 15, with above-average precipitation expected through mid-September, is suppressing maximum temperatures in Chongqing below the typical late-summer baseline of 27–29 °C. Official forecasts show widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 85–90 %, light winds, and rain probabilities exceeding 80 % on the 17th, limiting daytime heating and pointing to highs clustered around 20–23 °C. Model consensus across sources remains tight on this range, with limited upside potential absent a rapid clearing trend. Traders are therefore concentrating implied probability on the 21 °C-or-below, 22 °C, and 23 °C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty only in exact peak timing amid ongoing precipitation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$3,324Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent autumn rain (秋雨期) onset around September 15, with above-average precipitation expected through mid-September, is suppressing maximum temperatures in Chongqing below the typical late-summer baseline of 27–29 °C. Official forecasts show widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 85–90 %, light winds, and rain probabilities exceeding 80 % on the 17th, limiting daytime heating and pointing to highs clustered around 20–23 °C. Model consensus across sources remains tight on this range, with limited upside potential absent a rapid clearing trend. Traders are therefore concentrating implied probability on the 21 °C-or-below, 22 °C, and 23 °C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty only in exact peak timing amid ongoing precipitation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,324Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent autumn rain (秋雨期) onset around September 15, with above-average precipitation expected through mid-September, is suppressing maximum temperatures in Chongqing below the typical late-summer baseline of 27–29 °C. Official forecasts show widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 85–90 %, light winds, and rain probabilities exceeding 80 % on the 17th, limiting daytime heating and pointing to highs clustered around 20–23 °C. Model consensus across sources remains tight on this range, with limited upside potential absent a rapid clearing trend. Traders are therefore concentrating implied probability on the 21 °C-or-below, 22 °C, and 23 °C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty only in exact peak timing amid ongoing precipitation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan