Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O’Hare indicate a Tuesday high near 81°F under initially cloudy skies that trend partly sunny, with southwesterly flow and a 60% chance of showers or thunderstorms that could cap daytime warming. Ensemble guidance and nearby point forecasts cluster between 78–86°F, supporting the market’s heaviest trading on the 80–83°F bins as the most probable outcomes given typical mid-September boundary-layer conditions and modest moisture. Model spreads remain modest this close to the event, though any earlier clearing or stronger southerly advection could push readings into the mid-80s while persistent clouds or heavier rain would favor the upper 70s. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs on September 14 will further refine these probabilities before Tuesday’s official maximum is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chicago on September 15?
Highest temperature in Chicago on September 15?
80-81°F 39%
82-83°F 26%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 11%
BARU
BARU
Sep 15, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 39%
82-83°F 26%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 11%
BARU
BARU
Sep 15, 2026
71°F or below
$388 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$132 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$12 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$163 Vol.
7%
78-79°F
$733 Vol.
16%
80-81°F
$868 Vol.
39%
82-83°F
$414 Vol.
26%
84-85°F
$331 Vol.
11%
86-87°F
$52 Vol.
4%
88-89°F
$54 Vol.
1%
90°F or higher
$360 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O’Hare indicate a Tuesday high near 81°F under initially cloudy skies that trend partly sunny, with southwesterly flow and a 60% chance of showers or thunderstorms that could cap daytime warming. Ensemble guidance and nearby point forecasts cluster between 78–86°F, supporting the market’s heaviest trading on the 80–83°F bins as the most probable outcomes given typical mid-September boundary-layer conditions and modest moisture. Model spreads remain modest this close to the event, though any earlier clearing or stronger southerly advection could push readings into the mid-80s while persistent clouds or heavier rain would favor the upper 70s. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs on September 14 will further refine these probabilities before Tuesday’s official maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Volume
$3,507Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O’Hare indicate a Tuesday high near 81°F under initially cloudy skies that trend partly sunny, with southwesterly flow and a 60% chance of showers or thunderstorms that could cap daytime warming. Ensemble guidance and nearby point forecasts cluster between 78–86°F, supporting the market’s heaviest trading on the 80–83°F bins as the most probable outcomes given typical mid-September boundary-layer conditions and modest moisture. Model spreads remain modest this close to the event, though any earlier clearing or stronger southerly advection could push readings into the mid-80s while persistent clouds or heavier rain would favor the upper 70s. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs on September 14 will further refine these probabilities before Tuesday’s official maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,507Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O’Hare indicate a Tuesday high near 81°F under initially cloudy skies that trend partly sunny, with southwesterly flow and a 60% chance of showers or thunderstorms that could cap daytime warming. Ensemble guidance and nearby point forecasts cluster between 78–86°F, supporting the market’s heaviest trading on the 80–83°F bins as the most probable outcomes given typical mid-September boundary-layer conditions and modest moisture. Model spreads remain modest this close to the event, though any earlier clearing or stronger southerly advection could push readings into the mid-80s while persistent clouds or heavier rain would favor the upper 70s. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs on September 14 will further refine these probabilities before Tuesday’s official maximum is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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