Trader consensus clusters on 66-69°F for San Francisco’s September 16 high because coastal marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific typically cap daytime warming in mid-September. National Weather Service model guidance shows modest high-pressure ridging competing with persistent stratus and fog, producing a narrow temperature range where small shifts in wind direction or cloud clearance timing can swing the daily maximum by 2-3°F. Historical climatology places average highs near 68°F, but September variability from sea-surface temperatures and upper-level trough positioning keeps outcomes tightly bunched. Updated model runs and afternoon NWS briefings remain the key near-term catalysts that could tilt probabilities between the two leading bins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 16?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 16?
66-67°F 43%
68-69°F 37%
64-65°F 12%
70-71°F 8%
BARU
BARU
Sep 16, 2026
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
12%
66-67°F
43%
68-69°F
37%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
1%
78°F or higher
<1%
66-67°F 43%
68-69°F 37%
64-65°F 12%
70-71°F 8%
BARU
BARU
Sep 16, 2026
59°F or below
$268 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$84 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$20 Vol.
6%
64-65°F
$241 Vol.
12%
66-67°F
$244 Vol.
43%
68-69°F
$743 Vol.
37%
70-71°F
$368 Vol.
8%
72-73°F
$21 Vol.
3%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$21 Vol.
1%
78°F or higher
$21 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters on 66-69°F for San Francisco’s September 16 high because coastal marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific typically cap daytime warming in mid-September. National Weather Service model guidance shows modest high-pressure ridging competing with persistent stratus and fog, producing a narrow temperature range where small shifts in wind direction or cloud clearance timing can swing the daily maximum by 2-3°F. Historical climatology places average highs near 68°F, but September variability from sea-surface temperatures and upper-level trough positioning keeps outcomes tightly bunched. Updated model runs and afternoon NWS briefings remain the key near-term catalysts that could tilt probabilities between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 14, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,005Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 7:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters on 66-69°F for San Francisco’s September 16 high because coastal marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific typically cap daytime warming in mid-September. National Weather Service model guidance shows modest high-pressure ridging competing with persistent stratus and fog, producing a narrow temperature range where small shifts in wind direction or cloud clearance timing can swing the daily maximum by 2-3°F. Historical climatology places average highs near 68°F, but September variability from sea-surface temperatures and upper-level trough positioning keeps outcomes tightly bunched. Updated model runs and afternoon NWS briefings remain the key near-term catalysts that could tilt probabilities between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,005Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 7:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters on 66-69°F for San Francisco’s September 16 high because coastal marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific typically cap daytime warming in mid-September. National Weather Service model guidance shows modest high-pressure ridging competing with persistent stratus and fog, producing a narrow temperature range where small shifts in wind direction or cloud clearance timing can swing the daily maximum by 2-3°F. Historical climatology places average highs near 68°F, but September variability from sea-surface temperatures and upper-level trough positioning keeps outcomes tightly bunched. Updated model runs and afternoon NWS briefings remain the key near-term catalysts that could tilt probabilities between the two leading bins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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