Recent National Weather Service-aligned forecasts for Seattle on September 15 project a daily high near 65°F under mostly cloudy conditions with a 30-40% chance of light drizzle and light northerly winds, consistent with the market's leading implied probabilities clustered around 64-67°F. This outlook sits below the 1991-2020 climatological average high of 71°F for the date, reflecting a cooler marine air influence and limited daytime heating. The substantial 48.5% implied probability on 76°F or higher captures residual uncertainty in model guidance regarding potential clearing or warmer advection ahead of the event. Updated short-range model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around these temperature thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seattle on September 15?
Highest temperature in Seattle on September 15?
64-65°F 26%
66-67°F 25%
68-69°F 19%
62-63°F 17%
BARU
BARU
Sep 15, 2026
57°F or below
2%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
6%
62-63°F
17%
64-65°F
26%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
19%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
3%
76°F or higher
2%
64-65°F 26%
66-67°F 25%
68-69°F 19%
62-63°F 17%
BARU
BARU
Sep 15, 2026
57°F or below
$0 Vol.
2%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
3%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
6%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
17%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
26%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
25%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
19%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
10%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
5%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
3%
76°F or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service-aligned forecasts for Seattle on September 15 project a daily high near 65°F under mostly cloudy conditions with a 30-40% chance of light drizzle and light northerly winds, consistent with the market's leading implied probabilities clustered around 64-67°F. This outlook sits below the 1991-2020 climatological average high of 71°F for the date, reflecting a cooler marine air influence and limited daytime heating. The substantial 48.5% implied probability on 76°F or higher captures residual uncertainty in model guidance regarding potential clearing or warmer advection ahead of the event. Updated short-range model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around these temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service-aligned forecasts for Seattle on September 15 project a daily high near 65°F under mostly cloudy conditions with a 30-40% chance of light drizzle and light northerly winds, consistent with the market's leading implied probabilities clustered around 64-67°F. This outlook sits below the 1991-2020 climatological average high of 71°F for the date, reflecting a cooler marine air influence and limited daytime heating. The substantial 48.5% implied probability on 76°F or higher captures residual uncertainty in model guidance regarding potential clearing or warmer advection ahead of the event. Updated short-range model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around these temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service-aligned forecasts for Seattle on September 15 project a daily high near 65°F under mostly cloudy conditions with a 30-40% chance of light drizzle and light northerly winds, consistent with the market's leading implied probabilities clustered around 64-67°F. This outlook sits below the 1991-2020 climatological average high of 71°F for the date, reflecting a cooler marine air influence and limited daytime heating. The substantial 48.5% implied probability on 76°F or higher captures residual uncertainty in model guidance regarding potential clearing or warmer advection ahead of the event. Updated short-range model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around these temperature thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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