**Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles on September 16, 2026, indicate a daytime high in the mid to upper 70s under typical early-fall conditions.** Onshore southwest flow and the marine layer are expected to produce morning low clouds or fog, limiting afternoon warming and keeping temperatures close to the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 76.2°F. Recent model runs show modest agreement around 75–78°F, with no strong offshore winds or heat-dome patterns to elevate readings. This scientific consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 76–77°F (49.5%) and 74–75°F (28.0%), while the thin tail probabilities for 80°F+ reflect the low likelihood of rapid marine-layer clearance or stronger easterly flow. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon observations will be the key near-term drivers of any shifts in implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 16?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 16?
76-77°F 50%
74-75°F 29%
78-79°F 19%
72-73°F 6%
BARU
BARU
Sep 16, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
50%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
2%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 50%
74-75°F 29%
78-79°F 19%
72-73°F 6%
BARU
BARU
Sep 16, 2026
65°F or below
$353 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$205 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$188 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$110 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$168 Vol.
6%
74-75°F
$1,514 Vol.
29%
76-77°F
$703 Vol.
50%
78-79°F
$1,823 Vol.
19%
80-81°F
$89 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
2%
84°F or higher
$138 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles on September 16, 2026, indicate a daytime high in the mid to upper 70s under typical early-fall conditions.** Onshore southwest flow and the marine layer are expected to produce morning low clouds or fog, limiting afternoon warming and keeping temperatures close to the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 76.2°F. Recent model runs show modest agreement around 75–78°F, with no strong offshore winds or heat-dome patterns to elevate readings. This scientific consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 76–77°F (49.5%) and 74–75°F (28.0%), while the thin tail probabilities for 80°F+ reflect the low likelihood of rapid marine-layer clearance or stronger easterly flow. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon observations will be the key near-term drivers of any shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 14, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$5,291Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 7:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles on September 16, 2026, indicate a daytime high in the mid to upper 70s under typical early-fall conditions.** Onshore southwest flow and the marine layer are expected to produce morning low clouds or fog, limiting afternoon warming and keeping temperatures close to the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 76.2°F. Recent model runs show modest agreement around 75–78°F, with no strong offshore winds or heat-dome patterns to elevate readings. This scientific consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 76–77°F (49.5%) and 74–75°F (28.0%), while the thin tail probabilities for 80°F+ reflect the low likelihood of rapid marine-layer clearance or stronger easterly flow. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon observations will be the key near-term drivers of any shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,291Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 7:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles on September 16, 2026, indicate a daytime high in the mid to upper 70s under typical early-fall conditions.** Onshore southwest flow and the marine layer are expected to produce morning low clouds or fog, limiting afternoon warming and keeping temperatures close to the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 76.2°F. Recent model runs show modest agreement around 75–78°F, with no strong offshore winds or heat-dome patterns to elevate readings. This scientific consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 76–77°F (49.5%) and 74–75°F (28.0%), while the thin tail probabilities for 80°F+ reflect the low likelihood of rapid marine-layer clearance or stronger easterly flow. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon observations will be the key near-term drivers of any shifts in implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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