Forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles converge on a minimum temperature of 18°C for Incheon on September 17, driven by clear to partly cloudy conditions, light easterly winds, and typical early-autumn radiative cooling overnight without significant frontal activity or moisture. This aligns with historical September baselines for the region and current observational data showing stable high pressure. Trader consensus at 98.5% implied probability reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-term numerical weather prediction, though realistic shifts could arise from unmodeled local effects like urban heat islands or minor forecast revisions in the final hours before the daily minimum is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 17?
18°C 99%
14°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$20,313 Vol.
$20,313 Vol.
14°C or below
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
99%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 99%
14°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$20,313 Vol.
$20,313 Vol.
14°C or below
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
99%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles converge on a minimum temperature of 18°C for Incheon on September 17, driven by clear to partly cloudy conditions, light easterly winds, and typical early-autumn radiative cooling overnight without significant frontal activity or moisture. This aligns with historical September baselines for the region and current observational data showing stable high pressure. Trader consensus at 98.5% implied probability reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-term numerical weather prediction, though realistic shifts could arise from unmodeled local effects like urban heat islands or minor forecast revisions in the final hours before the daily minimum is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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