**Forecast consensus for Incheon (Seoul’s official station) points to an overnight minimum of 19–21°C on September 18, 2026, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on those outcomes.** Multiple models and agencies, including the Met Office (19°C low) and others showing 19–21°C (roughly 67–70°F), indicate stable easterly flow, partly cloudy to clear skies, and light winds that limit both daytime heating and strong nocturnal cooling. These conditions produce typical mid-September radiative cooling without cold-air advection or significant cloud cover to retain heat. Historical baselines for Incheon in mid-September show average lows near 18–19°C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal but within the usual range. No major synoptic changes—such as a frontal passage or typhoon influence—are expected before the 18th, keeping probabilities concentrated on 19–21°C while lower (18°C or below) or higher (22°C+) outcomes remain low-probability tail risks pending the final KMA observation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 18?
20°C 44%
19°C 32%
21°C 18%
18°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 18, 2026
15°C or below
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
9%
19°C
32%
20°C
44%
21°C
18%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
2%
20°C 44%
19°C 32%
21°C 18%
18°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 18, 2026
15°C or below
$101 Vol.
1%
16°C
$257 Vol.
2%
17°C
$112 Vol.
2%
18°C
$73 Vol.
9%
19°C
$815 Vol.
32%
20°C
$957 Vol.
44%
21°C
$397 Vol.
18%
22°C
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C
$0 Vol.
2%
24°C
$65 Vol.
1%
25°C or higher
$53 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Incheon (Seoul’s official station) points to an overnight minimum of 19–21°C on September 18, 2026, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on those outcomes.** Multiple models and agencies, including the Met Office (19°C low) and others showing 19–21°C (roughly 67–70°F), indicate stable easterly flow, partly cloudy to clear skies, and light winds that limit both daytime heating and strong nocturnal cooling.
These conditions produce typical mid-September radiative cooling without cold-air advection or significant cloud cover to retain heat. Historical baselines for Incheon in mid-September show average lows near 18–19°C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal but within the usual range. No major synoptic changes—such as a frontal passage or typhoon influence—are expected before the 18th, keeping probabilities concentrated on 19–21°C while lower (18°C or below) or higher (22°C+) outcomes remain low-probability tail risks pending the final KMA observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,831Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Incheon (Seoul’s official station) points to an overnight minimum of 19–21°C on September 18, 2026, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on those outcomes.** Multiple models and agencies, including the Met Office (19°C low) and others showing 19–21°C (roughly 67–70°F), indicate stable easterly flow, partly cloudy to clear skies, and light winds that limit both daytime heating and strong nocturnal cooling.
These conditions produce typical mid-September radiative cooling without cold-air advection or significant cloud cover to retain heat. Historical baselines for Incheon in mid-September show average lows near 18–19°C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal but within the usual range. No major synoptic changes—such as a frontal passage or typhoon influence—are expected before the 18th, keeping probabilities concentrated on 19–21°C while lower (18°C or below) or higher (22°C+) outcomes remain low-probability tail risks pending the final KMA observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,831Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus for Incheon (Seoul’s official station) points to an overnight minimum of 19–21°C on September 18, 2026, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on those outcomes.** Multiple models and agencies, including the Met Office (19°C low) and others showing 19–21°C (roughly 67–70°F), indicate stable easterly flow, partly cloudy to clear skies, and light winds that limit both daytime heating and strong nocturnal cooling. These conditions produce typical mid-September radiative cooling without cold-air advection or significant cloud cover to retain heat. Historical baselines for Incheon in mid-September show average lows near 18–19°C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal but within the usual range. No major synoptic changes—such as a frontal passage or typhoon influence—are expected before the 18th, keeping probabilities concentrated on 19–21°C while lower (18°C or below) or higher (22°C+) outcomes remain low-probability tail risks pending the final KMA observation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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