Recent cooling from a weak cold front and upper-level trough has driven trader focus on Wuhan's September 18 low, with official Chinese forecasts indicating a 20–25°C daily range amid lingering light rain and northerly winds. Model consensus from sources like the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory and regional guidance centers points to a minimum near 19–20°C, reflecting post-frontal stabilization, yet slight variations in rain timing or clearing could allow readings near or below 19°C or push toward the mid-20s if skies clear faster. This uncertainty, combined with historical September variability in the Jianghan Plain, keeps the market closely balanced across the 14°C-or-below, 19°C, and 24°C-or-higher bins as traders weigh the latest observational updates and forecast revisions ahead of overnight resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Wuhan on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 18?
14°C or below 80%
24°C or higher 79%
20°C 45%
19°C 44%
BARU
BARU
Sep 18, 2026
14°C or below
80%
15°C
18%
16°C
18%
17°C
18%
18°C
40%
19°C
33%
20°C
26%
21°C
9%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C or higher
79%
14°C or below 80%
24°C or higher 79%
20°C 45%
19°C 44%
BARU
BARU
Sep 18, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Vol.
80%
15°C
$0 Vol.
18%
16°C
$0 Vol.
18%
17°C
$0 Vol.
18%
18°C
$0 Vol.
40%
19°C
$17 Vol.
33%
20°C
$105 Vol.
26%
21°C
$142 Vol.
9%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C or higher
$0 Vol.
79%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling from a weak cold front and upper-level trough has driven trader focus on Wuhan's September 18 low, with official Chinese forecasts indicating a 20–25°C daily range amid lingering light rain and northerly winds. Model consensus from sources like the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory and regional guidance centers points to a minimum near 19–20°C, reflecting post-frontal stabilization, yet slight variations in rain timing or clearing could allow readings near or below 19°C or push toward the mid-20s if skies clear faster. This uncertainty, combined with historical September variability in the Jianghan Plain, keeps the market closely balanced across the 14°C-or-below, 19°C, and 24°C-or-higher bins as traders weigh the latest observational updates and forecast revisions ahead of overnight resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$264Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling from a weak cold front and upper-level trough has driven trader focus on Wuhan's September 18 low, with official Chinese forecasts indicating a 20–25°C daily range amid lingering light rain and northerly winds. Model consensus from sources like the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory and regional guidance centers points to a minimum near 19–20°C, reflecting post-frontal stabilization, yet slight variations in rain timing or clearing could allow readings near or below 19°C or push toward the mid-20s if skies clear faster. This uncertainty, combined with historical September variability in the Jianghan Plain, keeps the market closely balanced across the 14°C-or-below, 19°C, and 24°C-or-higher bins as traders weigh the latest observational updates and forecast revisions ahead of overnight resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$264Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cooling from a weak cold front and upper-level trough has driven trader focus on Wuhan's September 18 low, with official Chinese forecasts indicating a 20–25°C daily range amid lingering light rain and northerly winds. Model consensus from sources like the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory and regional guidance centers points to a minimum near 19–20°C, reflecting post-frontal stabilization, yet slight variations in rain timing or clearing could allow readings near or below 19°C or push toward the mid-20s if skies clear faster. This uncertainty, combined with historical September variability in the Jianghan Plain, keeps the market closely balanced across the 14°C-or-below, 19°C, and 24°C-or-higher bins as traders weigh the latest observational updates and forecast revisions ahead of overnight resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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