Current short-range forecasts from multiple models converge on a Beijing minimum near 19–21°C for September 17, driven by partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under a warm air mass. This positions the outcome near the middle of the distribution and explains the near-even split between the 14°C-or-below and 24°C-or-higher bins, as traders weigh residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any late-arriving cold-air advection. Historical climatology (1991–2020 average low of 15.7°C) and recent warm anomalies further widen uncertainty around exact thresholds. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours, plus any observed wind or cloud changes, will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Beijing on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 17?
14°C or below 100%
24°C or higher 98%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
BARU
BARU
Sep 17, 2026
14°C or below
100%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
40%
18°C
37%
19°C
37%
20°C
37%
21°C
37%
22°C
37%
23°C
37%
24°C or higher
98%
14°C or below 100%
24°C or higher 98%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
BARU
BARU
Sep 17, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Vol.
100%
15°C
$0 Vol.
40%
16°C
$0 Vol.
40%
17°C
$0 Vol.
40%
18°C
$0 Vol.
37%
19°C
$0 Vol.
37%
20°C
$0 Vol.
37%
21°C
$0 Vol.
37%
22°C
$0 Vol.
37%
23°C
$0 Vol.
37%
24°C or higher
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from multiple models converge on a Beijing minimum near 19–21°C for September 17, driven by partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under a warm air mass. This positions the outcome near the middle of the distribution and explains the near-even split between the 14°C-or-below and 24°C-or-higher bins, as traders weigh residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any late-arriving cold-air advection. Historical climatology (1991–2020 average low of 15.7°C) and recent warm anomalies further widen uncertainty around exact thresholds. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours, plus any observed wind or cloud changes, will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from multiple models converge on a Beijing minimum near 19–21°C for September 17, driven by partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under a warm air mass. This positions the outcome near the middle of the distribution and explains the near-even split between the 14°C-or-below and 24°C-or-higher bins, as traders weigh residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any late-arriving cold-air advection. Historical climatology (1991–2020 average low of 15.7°C) and recent warm anomalies further widen uncertainty around exact thresholds. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours, plus any observed wind or cloud changes, will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from multiple models converge on a Beijing minimum near 19–21°C for September 17, driven by partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under a warm air mass. This positions the outcome near the middle of the distribution and explains the near-even split between the 14°C-or-below and 24°C-or-higher bins, as traders weigh residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any late-arriving cold-air advection. Historical climatology (1991–2020 average low of 15.7°C) and recent warm anomalies further widen uncertainty around exact thresholds. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours, plus any observed wind or cloud changes, will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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