Recent Central Weather Administration guidance and model consensus point to a northeasterly wind regime keeping Taipei's overnight lows in the 22–25 °C range for September 19, with scattered light showers possible but limited cooling from any frontal passage. This aligns with climatological September minima near 24 °C and explains elevated market-implied odds on 22 °C alongside the surprising lead for 28 °C or higher, which may reflect trader caution over forecast revisions or localized urban heat effects. Stable high pressure and a distant tropical depression steering clear support modest day-to-day consistency, though fresh model runs ahead of the weekend could shift probabilities if winds weaken or cloud cover increases radiative cooling overnight.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Taipei on September 19?
28°C or higher 85%
23°C 40%
20°C 39%
21°C 39%
18°C or below
34%
19°C
21%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
30%
23°C
40%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C or higher
85%
28°C or higher 85%
23°C 40%
20°C 39%
21°C 39%
18°C or below
34%
19°C
21%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
30%
23°C
40%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C or higher
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Central Weather Administration guidance and model consensus point to a northeasterly wind regime keeping Taipei's overnight lows in the 22–25 °C range for September 19, with scattered light showers possible but limited cooling from any frontal passage. This aligns with climatological September minima near 24 °C and explains elevated market-implied odds on 22 °C alongside the surprising lead for 28 °C or higher, which may reflect trader caution over forecast revisions or localized urban heat effects. Stable high pressure and a distant tropical depression steering clear support modest day-to-day consistency, though fresh model runs ahead of the weekend could shift probabilities if winds weaken or cloud cover increases radiative cooling overnight.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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