Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on September 18 projects highs of 97–100°F under persistent high pressure, southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 96–97°F, 98–99°F, and 100–101°F bins. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, dewpoint advection, or afternoon convective initiation could shift the maximum by a degree or two, explaining why those three outcomes hold nearly equal probability. With the date only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the most recent deterministic and ensemble runs heavily while noting that even small forecast adjustments near the resolution thresholds can move positions. Historical September averages near 89°F underscore how the ongoing heat anomaly supports elevated readings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Dallas on September 18?
Highest temperature in Dallas on September 18?
98-99°F 51%
96-97°F 37%
100-101°F 36%
94-95°F 19%
BARU
BARU
Sep 18, 2026
89°F or below
5%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
11%
94-95°F
19%
96-97°F
37%
98-99°F
51%
100-101°F
36%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
10%
106-107°F
6%
108°F or higher
5%
98-99°F 51%
96-97°F 37%
100-101°F 36%
94-95°F 19%
BARU
BARU
Sep 18, 2026
89°F or below
$0 Vol.
5%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
6%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
11%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
19%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
37%
98-99°F
$139 Vol.
51%
100-101°F
$0 Vol.
36%
102-103°F
$0 Vol.
19%
104-105°F
$0 Vol.
10%
106-107°F
$0 Vol.
6%
108°F or higher
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on September 18 projects highs of 97–100°F under persistent high pressure, southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 96–97°F, 98–99°F, and 100–101°F bins. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, dewpoint advection, or afternoon convective initiation could shift the maximum by a degree or two, explaining why those three outcomes hold nearly equal probability. With the date only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the most recent deterministic and ensemble runs heavily while noting that even small forecast adjustments near the resolution thresholds can move positions. Historical September averages near 89°F underscore how the ongoing heat anomaly supports elevated readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 16, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$139Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on September 18 projects highs of 97–100°F under persistent high pressure, southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 96–97°F, 98–99°F, and 100–101°F bins. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, dewpoint advection, or afternoon convective initiation could shift the maximum by a degree or two, explaining why those three outcomes hold nearly equal probability. With the date only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the most recent deterministic and ensemble runs heavily while noting that even small forecast adjustments near the resolution thresholds can move positions. Historical September averages near 89°F underscore how the ongoing heat anomaly supports elevated readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$139Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on September 18 projects highs of 97–100°F under persistent high pressure, southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 96–97°F, 98–99°F, and 100–101°F bins. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, dewpoint advection, or afternoon convective initiation could shift the maximum by a degree or two, explaining why those three outcomes hold nearly equal probability. With the date only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the most recent deterministic and ensemble runs heavily while noting that even small forecast adjustments near the resolution thresholds can move positions. Historical September averages near 89°F underscore how the ongoing heat anomaly supports elevated readings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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