**Trader consensus centers on the 76-77°F bin at 95.5% implied probability because official National Weather Service observations from Houston-area stations recorded a minimum temperature in that narrow range overnight on September 18.** Clear skies, light southeast winds, and elevated dew points under persistent late-summer high pressure suppressed radiational cooling, producing lows several degrees above the 1991-2020 climatological normal of roughly 72°F. Model guidance issued in the preceding 48 hours consistently projected this outcome with minimal spread, and no frontal passages or convective cooling occurred to alter the trajectory. The market-implied odds therefore reflect aggregated trader assessment of verified station data rather than forecast uncertainty. Only an unexpected revision in the final climatological report or use of an atypical station could realistically shift resolution outside this band.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Houston on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Houston on September 18?
76-77°F 99%
72-73°F 3%
74-75°F 3%
71°F or below <1%
$987 Vol.
$987 Vol.
Sep 18, 2026
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
Yes
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
76-77°F 99%
72-73°F 3%
74-75°F 3%
71°F or below <1%
$987 Vol.
$987 Vol.
Sep 18, 2026
71°F or below
$37 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$25 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$40 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$24 Vol.
Yes
78-79°F
$662 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$113 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$41 Vol.
No
90°F or higher
$46 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on the 76-77°F bin at 95.5% implied probability because official National Weather Service observations from Houston-area stations recorded a minimum temperature in that narrow range overnight on September 18.** Clear skies, light southeast winds, and elevated dew points under persistent late-summer high pressure suppressed radiational cooling, producing lows several degrees above the 1991-2020 climatological normal of roughly 72°F. Model guidance issued in the preceding 48 hours consistently projected this outcome with minimal spread, and no frontal passages or convective cooling occurred to alter the trajectory. The market-implied odds therefore reflect aggregated trader assessment of verified station data rather than forecast uncertainty. Only an unexpected revision in the final climatological report or use of an atypical station could realistically shift resolution outside this band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 16, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Volume
$987Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 3:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on the 76-77°F bin at 95.5% implied probability because official National Weather Service observations from Houston-area stations recorded a minimum temperature in that narrow range overnight on September 18.** Clear skies, light southeast winds, and elevated dew points under persistent late-summer high pressure suppressed radiational cooling, producing lows several degrees above the 1991-2020 climatological normal of roughly 72°F. Model guidance issued in the preceding 48 hours consistently projected this outcome with minimal spread, and no frontal passages or convective cooling occurred to alter the trajectory. The market-implied odds therefore reflect aggregated trader assessment of verified station data rather than forecast uncertainty. Only an unexpected revision in the final climatological report or use of an atypical station could realistically shift resolution outside this band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$987Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 3:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
**Trader consensus centers on the 76-77°F bin at 95.5% implied probability because official National Weather Service observations from Houston-area stations recorded a minimum temperature in that narrow range overnight on September 18.** Clear skies, light southeast winds, and elevated dew points under persistent late-summer high pressure suppressed radiational cooling, producing lows several degrees above the 1991-2020 climatological normal of roughly 72°F. Model guidance issued in the preceding 48 hours consistently projected this outcome with minimal spread, and no frontal passages or convective cooling occurred to alter the trajectory. The market-implied odds therefore reflect aggregated trader assessment of verified station data rather than forecast uncertainty. Only an unexpected revision in the final climatological report or use of an atypical station could realistically shift resolution outside this band.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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