**Forecast consensus from NWS and major models points to a low in the upper 70s for Houston on September 21, aligning with the market's leading 78-79°F outcome at 32.5% implied probability.** Persistent high pressure and a warm, humid air mass advected from the Gulf of Mexico are maintaining elevated overnight temperatures, while light southeast winds and limited cloud cover allow only modest radiational cooling. This setup contrasts with September climatology, where average lows near 71°F reflect cooler boundary-layer conditions typical later in the month. Model guidance shows tight clustering around 78-80°F with minimal spread, though small shifts in dew points or wind patterns could nudge the minimum by a degree or two. Traders are watching the next NWS update and evening model runs for any adjustments before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Houston on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Houston on September 21?
80-81°F 40%
82-83°F 39%
76-77°F 22%
74-75°F 11%
BARU
BARU
Sep 21, 2026
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
33%
80-81°F
40%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
2%
88°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 40%
82-83°F 39%
76-77°F 22%
74-75°F 11%
BARU
BARU
Sep 21, 2026
69°F or below
$0 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$13 Vol.
8%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
7%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
11%
76-77°F
$16 Vol.
22%
78-79°F
$75 Vol.
33%
80-81°F
$38 Vol.
40%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
39%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
11%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
2%
88°F or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from NWS and major models points to a low in the upper 70s for Houston on September 21, aligning with the market's leading 78-79°F outcome at 32.5% implied probability.** Persistent high pressure and a warm, humid air mass advected from the Gulf of Mexico are maintaining elevated overnight temperatures, while light southeast winds and limited cloud cover allow only modest radiational cooling. This setup contrasts with September climatology, where average lows near 71°F reflect cooler boundary-layer conditions typical later in the month. Model guidance shows tight clustering around 78-80°F with minimal spread, though small shifts in dew points or wind patterns could nudge the minimum by a degree or two. Traders are watching the next NWS update and evening model runs for any adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 19, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Volume
$142Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 3:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from NWS and major models points to a low in the upper 70s for Houston on September 21, aligning with the market's leading 78-79°F outcome at 32.5% implied probability.** Persistent high pressure and a warm, humid air mass advected from the Gulf of Mexico are maintaining elevated overnight temperatures, while light southeast winds and limited cloud cover allow only modest radiational cooling. This setup contrasts with September climatology, where average lows near 71°F reflect cooler boundary-layer conditions typical later in the month. Model guidance shows tight clustering around 78-80°F with minimal spread, though small shifts in dew points or wind patterns could nudge the minimum by a degree or two. Traders are watching the next NWS update and evening model runs for any adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$142Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 3:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from NWS and major models points to a low in the upper 70s for Houston on September 21, aligning with the market's leading 78-79°F outcome at 32.5% implied probability.** Persistent high pressure and a warm, humid air mass advected from the Gulf of Mexico are maintaining elevated overnight temperatures, while light southeast winds and limited cloud cover allow only modest radiational cooling. This setup contrasts with September climatology, where average lows near 71°F reflect cooler boundary-layer conditions typical later in the month. Model guidance shows tight clustering around 78-80°F with minimal spread, though small shifts in dew points or wind patterns could nudge the minimum by a degree or two. Traders are watching the next NWS update and evening model runs for any adjustments before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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