**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory position 27°C as the expected minimum temperature for September 16, 2026, aligning with the market’s 89% implied probability for that outcome.** A northeast monsoon combined with high-altitude anticyclonic influence is bringing drier, clearer conditions after early partial cloud and isolated showers, with overnight readings stabilizing near 26–27°C under moderate east to northeast winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale. Typical September climatology for the region supports minimums in this narrow range, and model consensus shows little deviation expected before dawn. Recent observational data from the prior evening and early morning confirm temperatures hovering around 26–27°C, reinforcing trader consensus that 27°C will be the lowest reading recorded by official stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 16?
27°C 93%
26°C 7%
25°C 2%
23°C 1.6%
BARU
$12,681 Vol.
BARU
$12,681 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
93%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 93%
26°C 7%
25°C 2%
23°C 1.6%
BARU
$12,681 Vol.
BARU
$12,681 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
21°C or below
$188 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$188 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$115 Vol.
2%
24°C
$609 Vol.
1%
25°C
$1,232 Vol.
2%
26°C
$2,913 Vol.
7%
27°C
$3,441 Vol.
93%
28°C
$1,623 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$28 Vol.
1%
30°C
$1,172 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$1,172 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory position 27°C as the expected minimum temperature for September 16, 2026, aligning with the market’s 89% implied probability for that outcome.** A northeast monsoon combined with high-altitude anticyclonic influence is bringing drier, clearer conditions after early partial cloud and isolated showers, with overnight readings stabilizing near 26–27°C under moderate east to northeast winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale. Typical September climatology for the region supports minimums in this narrow range, and model consensus shows little deviation expected before dawn. Recent observational data from the prior evening and early morning confirm temperatures hovering around 26–27°C, reinforcing trader consensus that 27°C will be the lowest reading recorded by official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$12,681Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory position 27°C as the expected minimum temperature for September 16, 2026, aligning with the market’s 89% implied probability for that outcome.** A northeast monsoon combined with high-altitude anticyclonic influence is bringing drier, clearer conditions after early partial cloud and isolated showers, with overnight readings stabilizing near 26–27°C under moderate east to northeast winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale. Typical September climatology for the region supports minimums in this narrow range, and model consensus shows little deviation expected before dawn. Recent observational data from the prior evening and early morning confirm temperatures hovering around 26–27°C, reinforcing trader consensus that 27°C will be the lowest reading recorded by official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$12,681Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory position 27°C as the expected minimum temperature for September 16, 2026, aligning with the market’s 89% implied probability for that outcome.** A northeast monsoon combined with high-altitude anticyclonic influence is bringing drier, clearer conditions after early partial cloud and isolated showers, with overnight readings stabilizing near 26–27°C under moderate east to northeast winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale. Typical September climatology for the region supports minimums in this narrow range, and model consensus shows little deviation expected before dawn. Recent observational data from the prior evening and early morning confirm temperatures hovering around 26–27°C, reinforcing trader consensus that 27°C will be the lowest reading recorded by official stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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