Recent forecasts from multiple models and the Hong Kong Observatory indicate overnight lows for September 14 will likely settle near 26–27°C amid continued subtropical warmth and high humidity, with daytime peaks around 29–31°C. Persistent easterly flow and limited frontal activity have maintained elevated minimum temperatures above the September climatological average of 24°C, reducing the chance of sharper overnight drops. Model consensus shows only modest variability in the 25–28°C range, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C as the implied lowest reading. Updated guidance through the next 24 hours will refine exact overnight minima before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 14?
27°C 61%
26°C 21%
25°C 7%
28°C 7%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
5%
25°C
7%
26°C
21%
27°C
61%
28°C
7%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 61%
26°C 21%
25°C 7%
28°C 7%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
5%
25°C
7%
26°C
21%
27°C
61%
28°C
7%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models and the Hong Kong Observatory indicate overnight lows for September 14 will likely settle near 26–27°C amid continued subtropical warmth and high humidity, with daytime peaks around 29–31°C. Persistent easterly flow and limited frontal activity have maintained elevated minimum temperatures above the September climatological average of 24°C, reducing the chance of sharper overnight drops. Model consensus shows only modest variability in the 25–28°C range, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C as the implied lowest reading. Updated guidance through the next 24 hours will refine exact overnight minima before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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