**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Paris on September 9, 2026, centers on 21°C (69.5% implied probability) and 22°C (23.5%), reflecting consistent official and model forecasts for a daytime maximum in that narrow range.** Multiple meteorological sources, including Météo-France-aligned reports and numerical models like GFS, indicate a high near 21–22°C under variable skies with northwest winds of 10–15 km/h. An anticyclone over northern France promotes stable, dry conditions with minimal cloud suppression of solar heating and no precipitation, while the wind direction advects slightly cooler maritime air. Morning lows around 13–15°C allow gradual warming to the afternoon peak, consistent with climatological September averages near 22°C but tempered by the current synoptic setup. Forecasts issued on the morning of September 9 show strong agreement across providers, with little model spread or late adjustments expected before resolution based on official maximum observations. This supports the market’s tight concentration on the two leading outcomes while assigning negligible probability to outliers.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on September 9?
21°C 68%
22°C 28%
20°C 8%
23°C <1%
$32,910 Vol.
$32,910 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
8%
21°C
68%
22°C
28%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 68%
22°C 28%
20°C 8%
23°C <1%
$32,910 Vol.
$32,910 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
8%
21°C
68%
22°C
28%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Paris on September 9, 2026, centers on 21°C (69.5% implied probability) and 22°C (23.5%), reflecting consistent official and model forecasts for a daytime maximum in that narrow range.** Multiple meteorological sources, including Météo-France-aligned reports and numerical models like GFS, indicate a high near 21–22°C under variable skies with northwest winds of 10–15 km/h. An anticyclone over northern France promotes stable, dry conditions with minimal cloud suppression of solar heating and no precipitation, while the wind direction advects slightly cooler maritime air. Morning lows around 13–15°C allow gradual warming to the afternoon peak, consistent with climatological September averages near 22°C but tempered by the current synoptic setup. Forecasts issued on the morning of September 9 show strong agreement across providers, with little model spread or late adjustments expected before resolution based on official maximum observations. This supports the market’s tight concentration on the two leading outcomes while assigning negligible probability to outliers.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
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