Recent forecasts from Météo-France and GFS model consensus indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C in Paris on September 9 under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds following frontal passage, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 12.2°C. This setup supports efficient nighttime radiational cooling without significant cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures, driving the market's 96% implied probability for exactly 12°C. Historical analogs from similar early-September high-pressure regimes show minimal variance around this baseline. A stronger-than-expected nocturnal inversion or delayed clearing could push the low to 11°C, though current ensemble spreads remain narrow ahead of final observations from stations like Paris-Le Bourget.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 9?
12°C 97%
9°C 2%
10°C 2%
11°C 2%
BARU
BARU
Sep 9, 2026
8°C or below
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
97%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
12°C 97%
9°C 2%
10°C 2%
11°C 2%
BARU
BARU
Sep 9, 2026
8°C or below
$65 Vol.
1%
9°C
$71 Vol.
2%
10°C
$89 Vol.
2%
11°C
$274 Vol.
2%
12°C
$1,181 Vol.
97%
13°C
$3,239 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$358 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$144 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$143 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$99 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$182 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and GFS model consensus indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C in Paris on September 9 under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds following frontal passage, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 12.2°C. This setup supports efficient nighttime radiational cooling without significant cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures, driving the market's 96% implied probability for exactly 12°C. Historical analogs from similar early-September high-pressure regimes show minimal variance around this baseline. A stronger-than-expected nocturnal inversion or delayed clearing could push the low to 11°C, though current ensemble spreads remain narrow ahead of final observations from stations like Paris-Le Bourget.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$5,844Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and GFS model consensus indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C in Paris on September 9 under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds following frontal passage, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 12.2°C. This setup supports efficient nighttime radiational cooling without significant cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures, driving the market's 96% implied probability for exactly 12°C. Historical analogs from similar early-September high-pressure regimes show minimal variance around this baseline. A stronger-than-expected nocturnal inversion or delayed clearing could push the low to 11°C, though current ensemble spreads remain narrow ahead of final observations from stations like Paris-Le Bourget.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,844Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France and GFS model consensus indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C in Paris on September 9 under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds following frontal passage, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 12.2°C. This setup supports efficient nighttime radiational cooling without significant cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures, driving the market's 96% implied probability for exactly 12°C. Historical analogs from similar early-September high-pressure regimes show minimal variance around this baseline. A stronger-than-expected nocturnal inversion or delayed clearing could push the low to 11°C, though current ensemble spreads remain narrow ahead of final observations from stations like Paris-Le Bourget.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan