**Current forecasts for Paris on September 11, 2026, show overnight lows in the 13–15°C range under partly cloudy to clear skies with light winds, placing the expected minimum near historical averages of 11.9°C while remaining well above 10°C and far below 20°C.** This positioning stems from ongoing mild westerly flow and above-average early-September temperatures that have limited radiative cooling. Key differentiating factors include precise nocturnal cloud cover—thicker clouds trap heat and raise minimums, while clearer conditions allow greater cooling—and small variations in model guidance from sources like ECMWF or Météo-France runs, which can shift the low by 1–2°C. With resolution hinging on the official station reading (likely Paris-Montsouris or similar), traders weigh these atmospheric details against climatological baselines, creating the near-even split between cooler and warmer tails. Updated model outputs over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities as the event approaches.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 11?
14°C 40%
13°C 27%
12°C 20%
11°C 19%
BARU
BARU
Sep 11, 2026
10°C or below
7%
11°C
19%
12°C
20%
13°C
27%
14°C
40%
15°C
16%
16°C
14%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
3%
14°C 40%
13°C 27%
12°C 20%
11°C 19%
BARU
BARU
Sep 11, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Vol.
7%
11°C
$0 Vol.
19%
12°C
$0 Vol.
20%
13°C
$41 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
40%
15°C
$0 Vol.
16%
16°C
$0 Vol.
14%
17°C
$0 Vol.
3%
18°C
$0 Vol.
3%
19°C
$0 Vol.
3%
20°C or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Paris on September 11, 2026, show overnight lows in the 13–15°C range under partly cloudy to clear skies with light winds, placing the expected minimum near historical averages of 11.9°C while remaining well above 10°C and far below 20°C.**
This positioning stems from ongoing mild westerly flow and above-average early-September temperatures that have limited radiative cooling. Key differentiating factors include precise nocturnal cloud cover—thicker clouds trap heat and raise minimums, while clearer conditions allow greater cooling—and small variations in model guidance from sources like ECMWF or Météo-France runs, which can shift the low by 1–2°C. With resolution hinging on the official station reading (likely Paris-Montsouris or similar), traders weigh these atmospheric details against climatological baselines, creating the near-even split between cooler and warmer tails. Updated model outputs over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities as the event approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$41Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Paris on September 11, 2026, show overnight lows in the 13–15°C range under partly cloudy to clear skies with light winds, placing the expected minimum near historical averages of 11.9°C while remaining well above 10°C and far below 20°C.**
This positioning stems from ongoing mild westerly flow and above-average early-September temperatures that have limited radiative cooling. Key differentiating factors include precise nocturnal cloud cover—thicker clouds trap heat and raise minimums, while clearer conditions allow greater cooling—and small variations in model guidance from sources like ECMWF or Météo-France runs, which can shift the low by 1–2°C. With resolution hinging on the official station reading (likely Paris-Montsouris or similar), traders weigh these atmospheric details against climatological baselines, creating the near-even split between cooler and warmer tails. Updated model outputs over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities as the event approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$41Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts for Paris on September 11, 2026, show overnight lows in the 13–15°C range under partly cloudy to clear skies with light winds, placing the expected minimum near historical averages of 11.9°C while remaining well above 10°C and far below 20°C.** This positioning stems from ongoing mild westerly flow and above-average early-September temperatures that have limited radiative cooling. Key differentiating factors include precise nocturnal cloud cover—thicker clouds trap heat and raise minimums, while clearer conditions allow greater cooling—and small variations in model guidance from sources like ECMWF or Météo-France runs, which can shift the low by 1–2°C. With resolution hinging on the official station reading (likely Paris-Montsouris or similar), traders weigh these atmospheric details against climatological baselines, creating the near-even split between cooler and warmer tails. Updated model outputs over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities as the event approaches.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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