**Cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and a low-pressure system are moderating daytime heating in Mexico City on September 12, 2026, keeping the daily maximum near seasonal norms.** Official and model guidance shows morning temperatures climbing from the mid-teens Celsius under overcast skies, with rain chances of 70–90% limiting insolation and capping the high. Most forecasts converge on 23–24 °C, yet several runs allow brief clearing that could push readings to 25 °C or slightly above—precisely the range capturing the bulk of market-implied probability. Historical September maxima average near 25 °C, providing a baseline traders weigh against today’s moisture and wind patterns. Updated model runs and surface observations through the afternoon will refine whether the peak stays at or exceeds 25 °C before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 12?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 12?
25°C 52%
26°C or higher 37%
24°C 10%
23°C 5.5%
$12,619 Vol.
$12,619 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
10%
25°C
52%
26°C or higher
37%
25°C 52%
26°C or higher 37%
24°C 10%
23°C 5.5%
$12,619 Vol.
$12,619 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
16°C or below
$127 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$127 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$127 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$112 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$329 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$336 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$492 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,029 Vol.
6%
24°C
$2,064 Vol.
10%
25°C
$2,768 Vol.
52%
26°C or higher
$5,108 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and a low-pressure system are moderating daytime heating in Mexico City on September 12, 2026, keeping the daily maximum near seasonal norms.** Official and model guidance shows morning temperatures climbing from the mid-teens Celsius under overcast skies, with rain chances of 70–90% limiting insolation and capping the high. Most forecasts converge on 23–24 °C, yet several runs allow brief clearing that could push readings to 25 °C or slightly above—precisely the range capturing the bulk of market-implied probability. Historical September maxima average near 25 °C, providing a baseline traders weigh against today’s moisture and wind patterns. Updated model runs and surface observations through the afternoon will refine whether the peak stays at or exceeds 25 °C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 10, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$12,619Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 8:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and a low-pressure system are moderating daytime heating in Mexico City on September 12, 2026, keeping the daily maximum near seasonal norms.** Official and model guidance shows morning temperatures climbing from the mid-teens Celsius under overcast skies, with rain chances of 70–90% limiting insolation and capping the high. Most forecasts converge on 23–24 °C, yet several runs allow brief clearing that could push readings to 25 °C or slightly above—precisely the range capturing the bulk of market-implied probability. Historical September maxima average near 25 °C, providing a baseline traders weigh against today’s moisture and wind patterns. Updated model runs and surface observations through the afternoon will refine whether the peak stays at or exceeds 25 °C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,619Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 8:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and a low-pressure system are moderating daytime heating in Mexico City on September 12, 2026, keeping the daily maximum near seasonal norms.** Official and model guidance shows morning temperatures climbing from the mid-teens Celsius under overcast skies, with rain chances of 70–90% limiting insolation and capping the high. Most forecasts converge on 23–24 °C, yet several runs allow brief clearing that could push readings to 25 °C or slightly above—precisely the range capturing the bulk of market-implied probability. Historical September maxima average near 25 °C, providing a baseline traders weigh against today’s moisture and wind patterns. Updated model runs and surface observations through the afternoon will refine whether the peak stays at or exceeds 25 °C before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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