Recent National Weather Service and WPC guidance highlights a strong closed 500 mb low coupled with high integrated vapor transport driving widespread precipitation potential across the northern Plains and Midwest on September 14, with localized 1–3+ inch totals possible where model consensus aligns. Official QPF discussions note slight risks for excessive rainfall in parts of Nebraska, Kansas, and the Upper Great Lakes, while southern and western regions show lower probabilities under drier ridging. Short-range models such as HREF and ECMWF ensembles will update overnight, refining timing and intensity ahead of the 24-hour resolution window. Traders should track NWS Day 2 excessive rainfall outlooks and surface analyses for shifts in steering patterns or moisture boundaries that could alter coverage in key markets.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWhere will it rain on September 14?
New York, NY
50%
Los Angeles, CA
50%
Chicago, IL
50%
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
26%
Phoenix, AZ
50%
Philadelphia, PA
26%
Denver, CO
50%
Washington, DC
25%
Atlanta, GA
26%
Miami, FL
50%
Seattle, WA
50%
Boston, MA
50%
New Orleans, LA
50%
San Francisco, CA
26%
$0.00 Vol.
New York, NY
50%
Los Angeles, CA
50%
Chicago, IL
50%
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
26%
Phoenix, AZ
50%
Philadelphia, PA
26%
Denver, CO
50%
Washington, DC
25%
Atlanta, GA
26%
Miami, FL
50%
Seattle, WA
50%
Boston, MA
50%
New Orleans, LA
50%
San Francisco, CA
26%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 13, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent National Weather Service and WPC guidance highlights a strong closed 500 mb low coupled with high integrated vapor transport driving widespread precipitation potential across the northern Plains and Midwest on September 14, with localized 1–3+ inch totals possible where model consensus aligns. Official QPF discussions note slight risks for excessive rainfall in parts of Nebraska, Kansas, and the Upper Great Lakes, while southern and western regions show lower probabilities under drier ridging. Short-range models such as HREF and ECMWF ensembles will update overnight, refining timing and intensity ahead of the 24-hour resolution window. Traders should track NWS Day 2 excessive rainfall outlooks and surface analyses for shifts in steering patterns or moisture boundaries that could alter coverage in key markets.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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