Recent forecasts for Mexico City on September 9 indicate a maximum temperature near 22–23°C amid the rainy season, with scattered showers and extensive cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating. Model consensus shows variability in peak readings due to the timing and intensity of precipitation, which can suppress temperatures through reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling. At the city's high elevation, even modest changes in insolation or urban heat retention produce noticeable differences near the 24–25°C threshold. Trader sentiment reflects this uncertainty, with closely matched odds on 24°C versus 25°C or higher driven by the latest ensemble runs and historical September climatology showing typical highs around 23–24°C under similar conditions. Updated model guidance and radar trends ahead of peak afternoon heating will likely refine these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 9?
24°C 43%
25°C or higher 38%
23°C 16%
22°C 4%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
16%
24°C
43%
25°C or higher
38%
24°C 43%
25°C or higher 38%
23°C 16%
22°C 4%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
16%
24°C
43%
25°C or higher
38%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Mexico City on September 9 indicate a maximum temperature near 22–23°C amid the rainy season, with scattered showers and extensive cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating. Model consensus shows variability in peak readings due to the timing and intensity of precipitation, which can suppress temperatures through reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling. At the city's high elevation, even modest changes in insolation or urban heat retention produce noticeable differences near the 24–25°C threshold. Trader sentiment reflects this uncertainty, with closely matched odds on 24°C versus 25°C or higher driven by the latest ensemble runs and historical September climatology showing typical highs around 23–24°C under similar conditions. Updated model guidance and radar trends ahead of peak afternoon heating will likely refine these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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