**Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a low temperature in the mid-to-upper 60s°F for San Francisco on September 9, 2026, consistent with the market's leading 66-67°F bin at 41% implied probability.** This reflects persistent warmer-than-average conditions driven by reduced marine-layer influence, lighter onshore winds, and lingering high pressure favoring clearer skies and less nocturnal cooling compared to the historical September average low near 56°F. Supporting outcomes cluster around 64-69°F (combined ~82% across leading bins), aligning with model consensus showing overnight lows of 63-69°F amid partly cloudy skies and dew points in the mid-60s. The 55°F-or-below outcome at 28.5% captures residual uncertainty from potential stronger marine-layer return or fog development, which historically suppresses minimum temperatures in coastal zones. Higher bins (70°F+) remain lower-probability given typical radiative cooling overnight. Key upcoming factors include the final NWS forecast updates and official observations from stations like San Francisco International Airport, where even small shifts in wind or cloud cover can alter the recorded low by several degrees. Trader sentiment aggregates these variables with real capital at stake, reflecting the narrow but data-driven range for this resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in San Francisco on September 9?
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on September 9?
55°F or below 64%
58-59°F 50%
66-67°F 27%
64-65°F 27%
BARU
BARU
Sep 9, 2026
55°F or below
64%
56-57°F
8%
58-59°F
50%
60-61°F
23%
62-63°F
9%
64-65°F
27%
66-67°F
41%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
2%
74°F or higher
25%
55°F or below 64%
58-59°F 50%
66-67°F 27%
64-65°F 27%
BARU
BARU
Sep 9, 2026
55°F or below
$57 Vol.
64%
56-57°F
$123 Vol.
8%
58-59°F
$50 Vol.
50%
60-61°F
$11 Vol.
23%
62-63°F
$10 Vol.
9%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
27%
66-67°F
$426 Vol.
41%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
27%
70-71°F
$169 Vol.
14%
72-73°F
$88 Vol.
2%
74°F or higher
$36 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a low temperature in the mid-to-upper 60s°F for San Francisco on September 9, 2026, consistent with the market's leading 66-67°F bin at 41% implied probability.** This reflects persistent warmer-than-average conditions driven by reduced marine-layer influence, lighter onshore winds, and lingering high pressure favoring clearer skies and less nocturnal cooling compared to the historical September average low near 56°F.
Supporting outcomes cluster around 64-69°F (combined ~82% across leading bins), aligning with model consensus showing overnight lows of 63-69°F amid partly cloudy skies and dew points in the mid-60s. The 55°F-or-below outcome at 28.5% captures residual uncertainty from potential stronger marine-layer return or fog development, which historically suppresses minimum temperatures in coastal zones. Higher bins (70°F+) remain lower-probability given typical radiative cooling overnight.
Key upcoming factors include the final NWS forecast updates and official observations from stations like San Francisco International Airport, where even small shifts in wind or cloud cover can alter the recorded low by several degrees. Trader sentiment aggregates these variables with real capital at stake, reflecting the narrow but data-driven range for this resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$969Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 7:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a low temperature in the mid-to-upper 60s°F for San Francisco on September 9, 2026, consistent with the market's leading 66-67°F bin at 41% implied probability.** This reflects persistent warmer-than-average conditions driven by reduced marine-layer influence, lighter onshore winds, and lingering high pressure favoring clearer skies and less nocturnal cooling compared to the historical September average low near 56°F.
Supporting outcomes cluster around 64-69°F (combined ~82% across leading bins), aligning with model consensus showing overnight lows of 63-69°F amid partly cloudy skies and dew points in the mid-60s. The 55°F-or-below outcome at 28.5% captures residual uncertainty from potential stronger marine-layer return or fog development, which historically suppresses minimum temperatures in coastal zones. Higher bins (70°F+) remain lower-probability given typical radiative cooling overnight.
Key upcoming factors include the final NWS forecast updates and official observations from stations like San Francisco International Airport, where even small shifts in wind or cloud cover can alter the recorded low by several degrees. Trader sentiment aggregates these variables with real capital at stake, reflecting the narrow but data-driven range for this resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$969Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 7:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a low temperature in the mid-to-upper 60s°F for San Francisco on September 9, 2026, consistent with the market's leading 66-67°F bin at 41% implied probability.** This reflects persistent warmer-than-average conditions driven by reduced marine-layer influence, lighter onshore winds, and lingering high pressure favoring clearer skies and less nocturnal cooling compared to the historical September average low near 56°F. Supporting outcomes cluster around 64-69°F (combined ~82% across leading bins), aligning with model consensus showing overnight lows of 63-69°F amid partly cloudy skies and dew points in the mid-60s. The 55°F-or-below outcome at 28.5% captures residual uncertainty from potential stronger marine-layer return or fog development, which historically suppresses minimum temperatures in coastal zones. Higher bins (70°F+) remain lower-probability given typical radiative cooling overnight. Key upcoming factors include the final NWS forecast updates and official observations from stations like San Francisco International Airport, where even small shifts in wind or cloud cover can alter the recorded low by several degrees. Trader sentiment aggregates these variables with real capital at stake, reflecting the narrow but data-driven range for this resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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