Current forecasts from multiple models, including detailed runs from European and Turkish meteorological sources, indicate a minimum temperature in Ankara on September 10 near 13–15°C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds. This setup favors radiative cooling overnight, with temperatures bottoming out around dawn as dew points remain low and high pressure suppresses cloud cover. The closely matched market probabilities around 11–13°C reflect uncertainty in the precise rate of cooling, local urban heat effects, and minor model spreads in boundary-layer moisture or wind speeds. Historical September minima average 11–14°C, but recent stable conditions without frontal passages keep the outcome sensitive to small forecast adjustments expected in the final model updates before dawn.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Ankara on September 10?
17°C 32%
12°C 31%
11°C 28%
10°C or below 27%
10°C or below
27%
11°C
28%
12°C
31%
13°C
25%
14°C
9%
15°C
9%
16°C
11%
17°C
32%
18°C
8%
19°C
10%
20°C or higher
5%
17°C 32%
12°C 31%
11°C 28%
10°C or below 27%
10°C or below
27%
11°C
28%
12°C
31%
13°C
25%
14°C
9%
15°C
9%
16°C
11%
17°C
32%
18°C
8%
19°C
10%
20°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models, including detailed runs from European and Turkish meteorological sources, indicate a minimum temperature in Ankara on September 10 near 13–15°C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds. This setup favors radiative cooling overnight, with temperatures bottoming out around dawn as dew points remain low and high pressure suppresses cloud cover. The closely matched market probabilities around 11–13°C reflect uncertainty in the precise rate of cooling, local urban heat effects, and minor model spreads in boundary-layer moisture or wind speeds. Historical September minima average 11–14°C, but recent stable conditions without frontal passages keep the outcome sensitive to small forecast adjustments expected in the final model updates before dawn.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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