Recent model consensus from the National Weather Service and other agencies points to mid- to upper-80s highs in Chicago on June 11 amid an ongoing heatwave, with southwesterly flow advecting warm, humid air while Lake Michigan’s lake breeze may temper peaks near the shoreline. Key variables include the strength and timing of any afternoon convection, which could shave a few degrees through evaporative cooling, versus clearer skies allowing fuller solar heating. Historical June averages near 79°F provide context, but current pressure patterns and dew points in the 70s support the market’s clustering around 84–87°F bins. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon model runs remain the next potential catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chicago on June 11?
Highest temperature in Chicago on June 11?
84-85°F 27%
86-87°F 21%
88-89°F 14.7%
82-83°F 14%
BARU
BARU
Jun 11, 2026
75°F or below
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
21%
88-89°F
15%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
1%
84-85°F 27%
86-87°F 21%
88-89°F 14.7%
82-83°F 14%
BARU
BARU
Jun 11, 2026
75°F or below
$30 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$180 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
3%
80-81°F
$138 Vol.
4%
82-83°F
$223 Vol.
14%
84-85°F
$398 Vol.
27%
86-87°F
$197 Vol.
21%
88-89°F
$84 Vol.
15%
90-91°F
$447 Vol.
5%
92-93°F
$1,018 Vol.
1%
94°F or higher
$1,286 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the National Weather Service and other agencies points to mid- to upper-80s highs in Chicago on June 11 amid an ongoing heatwave, with southwesterly flow advecting warm, humid air while Lake Michigan’s lake breeze may temper peaks near the shoreline. Key variables include the strength and timing of any afternoon convection, which could shave a few degrees through evaporative cooling, versus clearer skies allowing fuller solar heating. Historical June averages near 79°F provide context, but current pressure patterns and dew points in the 70s support the market’s clustering around 84–87°F bins. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon model runs remain the next potential catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$3,980Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the National Weather Service and other agencies points to mid- to upper-80s highs in Chicago on June 11 amid an ongoing heatwave, with southwesterly flow advecting warm, humid air while Lake Michigan’s lake breeze may temper peaks near the shoreline. Key variables include the strength and timing of any afternoon convection, which could shave a few degrees through evaporative cooling, versus clearer skies allowing fuller solar heating. Historical June averages near 79°F provide context, but current pressure patterns and dew points in the 70s support the market’s clustering around 84–87°F bins. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon model runs remain the next potential catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,980Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from the National Weather Service and other agencies points to mid- to upper-80s highs in Chicago on June 11 amid an ongoing heatwave, with southwesterly flow advecting warm, humid air while Lake Michigan’s lake breeze may temper peaks near the shoreline. Key variables include the strength and timing of any afternoon convection, which could shave a few degrees through evaporative cooling, versus clearer skies allowing fuller solar heating. Historical June averages near 79°F provide context, but current pressure patterns and dew points in the 70s support the market’s clustering around 84–87°F bins. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon model runs remain the next potential catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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