Recent Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration forecasts for Metro Manila indicate a July 12 high near 29°C amid monsoon conditions and rain showers, tempering expectations versus the long-term July average of 31°C. Traders weigh these official projections and ensemble model consensus against historical variability, urban heat island effects, and potential shifts in steering patterns or rainfall timing that could push daytime maxima into the low 30s or hold them at 28–29°C. High humidity and cloud cover further limit radiative heating, while short-range updates expected from PAGASA and global models in the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities around the tightly clustered 30–31°C outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Manila on July 12?
Highest temperature in Manila on July 12?
30°C 25%
31°C 22%
32°C 16%
29°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Jul 12, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
11%
29°C
15%
30°C
25%
31°C
22%
32°C
16%
33°C
12%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 25%
31°C 22%
32°C 16%
29°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Jul 12, 2026
26°C or below
$27 Vol.
1%
27°C
$15 Vol.
8%
28°C
$74 Vol.
11%
29°C
$7 Vol.
15%
30°C
$5 Vol.
25%
31°C
$9 Vol.
22%
32°C
$3 Vol.
16%
33°C
$0 Vol.
12%
34°C
$11 Vol.
3%
35°C
$0 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration forecasts for Metro Manila indicate a July 12 high near 29°C amid monsoon conditions and rain showers, tempering expectations versus the long-term July average of 31°C. Traders weigh these official projections and ensemble model consensus against historical variability, urban heat island effects, and potential shifts in steering patterns or rainfall timing that could push daytime maxima into the low 30s or hold them at 28–29°C. High humidity and cloud cover further limit radiative heating, while short-range updates expected from PAGASA and global models in the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities around the tightly clustered 30–31°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$154Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration forecasts for Metro Manila indicate a July 12 high near 29°C amid monsoon conditions and rain showers, tempering expectations versus the long-term July average of 31°C. Traders weigh these official projections and ensemble model consensus against historical variability, urban heat island effects, and potential shifts in steering patterns or rainfall timing that could push daytime maxima into the low 30s or hold them at 28–29°C. High humidity and cloud cover further limit radiative heating, while short-range updates expected from PAGASA and global models in the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities around the tightly clustered 30–31°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$154Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration forecasts for Metro Manila indicate a July 12 high near 29°C amid monsoon conditions and rain showers, tempering expectations versus the long-term July average of 31°C. Traders weigh these official projections and ensemble model consensus against historical variability, urban heat island effects, and potential shifts in steering patterns or rainfall timing that could push daytime maxima into the low 30s or hold them at 28–29°C. High humidity and cloud cover further limit radiative heating, while short-range updates expected from PAGASA and global models in the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities around the tightly clustered 30–31°C outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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