Recent forecasts indicate Moscow's July 12 high will likely settle near 20–22°C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and possible thunderstorms, suppressing daytime heating below the early-July climatological average of 23–24°C. Multiple models show a passing frontal system or increased mid-level moisture limiting solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling, with ensemble spreads reflecting uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of precipitation. This pattern aligns with trader-implied probabilities clustered around 19–22°C, where small shifts in cloud duration or clearing could push the peak into adjacent bins. Official updates from agencies like Roshydromet and global numerical weather prediction runs will refine resolution thresholds over the next 48 hours.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on July 12?
Highest temperature in Moscow on July 12?
21°C 22%
22°C 18%
20°C 18%
19°C 17%
BARU
BARU
Jul 12, 2026
15°C or below
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
10%
18°C
12%
19°C
17%
20°C
18%
21°C
22%
22°C
18%
23°C
16%
24°C
7%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 22%
22°C 18%
20°C 18%
19°C 17%
BARU
BARU
Jul 12, 2026
15°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
16°C
$5 Vol.
3%
17°C
$12 Vol.
10%
18°C
$5 Vol.
12%
19°C
$0 Vol.
17%
20°C
$0 Vol.
18%
21°C
$0 Vol.
22%
22°C
$5 Vol.
18%
23°C
$0 Vol.
16%
24°C
$2 Vol.
7%
25°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate Moscow's July 12 high will likely settle near 20–22°C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and possible thunderstorms, suppressing daytime heating below the early-July climatological average of 23–24°C. Multiple models show a passing frontal system or increased mid-level moisture limiting solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling, with ensemble spreads reflecting uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of precipitation. This pattern aligns with trader-implied probabilities clustered around 19–22°C, where small shifts in cloud duration or clearing could push the peak into adjacent bins. Official updates from agencies like Roshydromet and global numerical weather prediction runs will refine resolution thresholds over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$32Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate Moscow's July 12 high will likely settle near 20–22°C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and possible thunderstorms, suppressing daytime heating below the early-July climatological average of 23–24°C. Multiple models show a passing frontal system or increased mid-level moisture limiting solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling, with ensemble spreads reflecting uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of precipitation. This pattern aligns with trader-implied probabilities clustered around 19–22°C, where small shifts in cloud duration or clearing could push the peak into adjacent bins. Official updates from agencies like Roshydromet and global numerical weather prediction runs will refine resolution thresholds over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate Moscow's July 12 high will likely settle near 20–22°C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and possible thunderstorms, suppressing daytime heating below the early-July climatological average of 23–24°C. Multiple models show a passing frontal system or increased mid-level moisture limiting solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling, with ensemble spreads reflecting uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of precipitation. This pattern aligns with trader-implied probabilities clustered around 19–22°C, where small shifts in cloud duration or clearing could push the peak into adjacent bins. Official updates from agencies like Roshydromet and global numerical weather prediction runs will refine resolution thresholds over the next 48 hours.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan