Latest forecast models from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate Mexico City daytime highs on August 1 likely ranging 24–27°C, with trader consensus clustering around 26–27°C due to partly cloudy conditions and moderate humidity allowing greater solar heating at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Afternoon convection typical of the rainy season could introduce cooling via cloud cover or showers, explaining the tight spread between 25°C and 27°C outcomes and lower probabilities for extremes. Historical August averages near 24–26°C provide baseline context, while short-term model runs and local observations will refine resolution thresholds in coming hours.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 1?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 1?
27°C 39%
26°C 35%
25°C 14%
24°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 1, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
14%
26°C
35%
27°C
39%
28°C
6%
29°C or higher
2%
27°C 39%
26°C 35%
25°C 14%
24°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 1, 2026
19°C or below
$135 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$131 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$68 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$68 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$119 Vol.
2%
24°C
$119 Vol.
6%
25°C
$242 Vol.
14%
26°C
$1,880 Vol.
35%
27°C
$508 Vol.
39%
28°C
$116 Vol.
6%
29°C or higher
$226 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate Mexico City daytime highs on August 1 likely ranging 24–27°C, with trader consensus clustering around 26–27°C due to partly cloudy conditions and moderate humidity allowing greater solar heating at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Afternoon convection typical of the rainy season could introduce cooling via cloud cover or showers, explaining the tight spread between 25°C and 27°C outcomes and lower probabilities for extremes. Historical August averages near 24–26°C provide baseline context, while short-term model runs and local observations will refine resolution thresholds in coming hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$3,612Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate Mexico City daytime highs on August 1 likely ranging 24–27°C, with trader consensus clustering around 26–27°C due to partly cloudy conditions and moderate humidity allowing greater solar heating at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Afternoon convection typical of the rainy season could introduce cooling via cloud cover or showers, explaining the tight spread between 25°C and 27°C outcomes and lower probabilities for extremes. Historical August averages near 24–26°C provide baseline context, while short-term model runs and local observations will refine resolution thresholds in coming hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,612Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate Mexico City daytime highs on August 1 likely ranging 24–27°C, with trader consensus clustering around 26–27°C due to partly cloudy conditions and moderate humidity allowing greater solar heating at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Afternoon convection typical of the rainy season could introduce cooling via cloud cover or showers, explaining the tight spread between 25°C and 27°C outcomes and lower probabilities for extremes. Historical August averages near 24–26°C provide baseline context, while short-term model runs and local observations will refine resolution thresholds in coming hours.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan