Recent forecast model runs from agencies including Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate peak temperatures in Mexico City tomorrow will likely reach 28–29°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities near 72% combined. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's highland location typically moderates extremes through cooler baseline air masses, though the ongoing summer rainy season brings variable cloud cover, humidity, and afternoon convection that can suppress or enhance daytime highs by 1–3°C. Recent observations show stable subtropical ridging with limited moisture advection, favoring modest warming relative to seasonal norms around 25–26°C. Traders appear to weigh ensemble consensus and historical analogs for late July, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings at the central observatory; any shift in overnight model guidance or unexpected clear-sky development could adjust these odds before close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Mexico City on July 23?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 23?
28°C 45%
29°C 27%
27°C 19%
30°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Jul 23, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
19%
28°C
45%
29°C
27%
30°C
8%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 45%
29°C 27%
27°C 19%
30°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Jul 23, 2026
24°C or below
$55 Vol.
1%
25°C
$34 Vol.
1%
26°C
$323 Vol.
3%
27°C
$267 Vol.
19%
28°C
$111 Vol.
45%
29°C
$80 Vol.
27%
30°C
$33 Vol.
8%
31°C
$76 Vol.
1%
32°C
$60 Vol.
1%
33°C
$185 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$128 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate peak temperatures in Mexico City tomorrow will likely reach 28–29°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities near 72% combined. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's highland location typically moderates extremes through cooler baseline air masses, though the ongoing summer rainy season brings variable cloud cover, humidity, and afternoon convection that can suppress or enhance daytime highs by 1–3°C. Recent observations show stable subtropical ridging with limited moisture advection, favoring modest warming relative to seasonal norms around 25–26°C. Traders appear to weigh ensemble consensus and historical analogs for late July, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings at the central observatory; any shift in overnight model guidance or unexpected clear-sky development could adjust these odds before close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 21, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$1,353Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 21, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate peak temperatures in Mexico City tomorrow will likely reach 28–29°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities near 72% combined. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's highland location typically moderates extremes through cooler baseline air masses, though the ongoing summer rainy season brings variable cloud cover, humidity, and afternoon convection that can suppress or enhance daytime highs by 1–3°C. Recent observations show stable subtropical ridging with limited moisture advection, favoring modest warming relative to seasonal norms around 25–26°C. Traders appear to weigh ensemble consensus and historical analogs for late July, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings at the central observatory; any shift in overnight model guidance or unexpected clear-sky development could adjust these odds before close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,353Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 21, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from agencies including Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate peak temperatures in Mexico City tomorrow will likely reach 28–29°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities near 72% combined. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's highland location typically moderates extremes through cooler baseline air masses, though the ongoing summer rainy season brings variable cloud cover, humidity, and afternoon convection that can suppress or enhance daytime highs by 1–3°C. Recent observations show stable subtropical ridging with limited moisture advection, favoring modest warming relative to seasonal norms around 25–26°C. Traders appear to weigh ensemble consensus and historical analogs for late July, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings at the central observatory; any shift in overnight model guidance or unexpected clear-sky development could adjust these odds before close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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