Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to moderating conditions over the Northeast following the mid-July heatwave, with NYC maximum temperatures on July 22 most likely falling in the 83–87°F range. Forecasters cite a shift toward southwest flow with partial cloud cover and possible afternoon seabreeze influence that caps peak heating, consistent with climatological July highs near 83°F at Central Park. Uncertainty remains around exact boundary-layer moisture and any late-day convection, which could trim or boost readings by 2–3°F depending on timing. This scientific spread underpins the tight market clustering around 84–87°F bins while limiting odds for extremes above 90°F or below 80°F. Updated NWS and GFS/ECMWF runs tomorrow morning will further refine the outlook ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in NYC on July 22?
Highest temperature in NYC on July 22?
86-87°F 40%
84-85°F 36%
88-89°F 14%
82-83°F 11%
BARU
$12,651 Vol.
BARU
$12,651 Vol.
Jul 22, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
36%
86-87°F
40%
88-89°F
14%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 40%
84-85°F 36%
88-89°F 14%
82-83°F 11%
BARU
$12,651 Vol.
BARU
$12,651 Vol.
Jul 22, 2026
75°F or below
$460 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$275 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$260 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$220 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$704 Vol.
11%
84-85°F
$5,956 Vol.
36%
86-87°F
$806 Vol.
40%
88-89°F
$2,747 Vol.
14%
90-91°F
$600 Vol.
2%
92-93°F
$250 Vol.
1%
94°F or higher
$390 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to moderating conditions over the Northeast following the mid-July heatwave, with NYC maximum temperatures on July 22 most likely falling in the 83–87°F range. Forecasters cite a shift toward southwest flow with partial cloud cover and possible afternoon seabreeze influence that caps peak heating, consistent with climatological July highs near 83°F at Central Park. Uncertainty remains around exact boundary-layer moisture and any late-day convection, which could trim or boost readings by 2–3°F depending on timing. This scientific spread underpins the tight market clustering around 84–87°F bins while limiting odds for extremes above 90°F or below 80°F. Updated NWS and GFS/ECMWF runs tomorrow morning will further refine the outlook ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 20, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$12,651Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 20, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to moderating conditions over the Northeast following the mid-July heatwave, with NYC maximum temperatures on July 22 most likely falling in the 83–87°F range. Forecasters cite a shift toward southwest flow with partial cloud cover and possible afternoon seabreeze influence that caps peak heating, consistent with climatological July highs near 83°F at Central Park. Uncertainty remains around exact boundary-layer moisture and any late-day convection, which could trim or boost readings by 2–3°F depending on timing. This scientific spread underpins the tight market clustering around 84–87°F bins while limiting odds for extremes above 90°F or below 80°F. Updated NWS and GFS/ECMWF runs tomorrow morning will further refine the outlook ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,651Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 20, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to moderating conditions over the Northeast following the mid-July heatwave, with NYC maximum temperatures on July 22 most likely falling in the 83–87°F range. Forecasters cite a shift toward southwest flow with partial cloud cover and possible afternoon seabreeze influence that caps peak heating, consistent with climatological July highs near 83°F at Central Park. Uncertainty remains around exact boundary-layer moisture and any late-day convection, which could trim or boost readings by 2–3°F depending on timing. This scientific spread underpins the tight market clustering around 84–87°F bins while limiting odds for extremes above 90°F or below 80°F. Updated NWS and GFS/ECMWF runs tomorrow morning will further refine the outlook ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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