Recent model guidance shows a post-heatwave transition over western Europe, with an Atlantic ridge weakening and allowing cooler maritime air and increased instability to reach northern France by July 23. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS place daytime maxima near 25–27 °C, with small differences in cloud cover, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing determining whether the peak reaches the upper or lower end of that range. Soil moisture from preceding storms and modest northerly flow further suppress extreme values, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the 25–27 °C outcomes. Updated runs and morning soundings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on July 23?
Highest temperature in Paris on July 23?
26°C 39%
25°C 33%
24°C 16%
27°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Jul 23, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
16%
25°C
33%
26°C
39%
27°C
13%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 39%
25°C 33%
24°C 16%
27°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Jul 23, 2026
21°C or below
$206 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$372 Vol.
1%
23°C
$398 Vol.
1%
24°C
$1,000 Vol.
16%
25°C
$980 Vol.
33%
26°C
$637 Vol.
39%
27°C
$483 Vol.
13%
28°C
$394 Vol.
2%
29°C
$199 Vol.
1%
30°C
$222 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$190 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance shows a post-heatwave transition over western Europe, with an Atlantic ridge weakening and allowing cooler maritime air and increased instability to reach northern France by July 23. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS place daytime maxima near 25–27 °C, with small differences in cloud cover, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing determining whether the peak reaches the upper or lower end of that range. Soil moisture from preceding storms and modest northerly flow further suppress extreme values, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the 25–27 °C outcomes. Updated runs and morning soundings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$5,079Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance shows a post-heatwave transition over western Europe, with an Atlantic ridge weakening and allowing cooler maritime air and increased instability to reach northern France by July 23. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS place daytime maxima near 25–27 °C, with small differences in cloud cover, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing determining whether the peak reaches the upper or lower end of that range. Soil moisture from preceding storms and modest northerly flow further suppress extreme values, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the 25–27 °C outcomes. Updated runs and morning soundings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,079Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model guidance shows a post-heatwave transition over western Europe, with an Atlantic ridge weakening and allowing cooler maritime air and increased instability to reach northern France by July 23. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS place daytime maxima near 25–27 °C, with small differences in cloud cover, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing determining whether the peak reaches the upper or lower end of that range. Soil moisture from preceding storms and modest northerly flow further suppress extreme values, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the 25–27 °C outcomes. Updated runs and morning soundings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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