Ensemble forecasts from global and regional models currently cluster peak temperatures in Qingdao around 31–33°C for July 27, reflecting modest uncertainty in the spread of outcomes and driving the close market-implied odds. Qingdao’s coastal position on the Yellow Sea introduces marine moderation via sea breezes that often cap daytime maxima below inland norms, while any strengthening southerly flow or high-pressure ridge could push readings higher. Recent observations show temperatures exceeding the late-July climatological average of 27–29°C, consistent with broader warm patterns across Shandong. Key variables include model divergence on cloud cover, humidity, and wind shifts ahead of potential frontal passages, with updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble runs expected to refine the range before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Qingdao on July 27?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on July 27?
33°C 28%
32°C 26%
31°C 22%
34°C 17%
BARU
BARU
Jul 27, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
14%
31°C
22%
32°C
26%
33°C
28%
34°C
17%
35°C
9%
36°C or higher
6%
33°C 28%
32°C 26%
31°C 22%
34°C 17%
BARU
BARU
Jul 27, 2026
26°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$15 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$5 Vol.
3%
30°C
$0 Vol.
14%
31°C
$0 Vol.
22%
32°C
$0 Vol.
26%
33°C
$0 Vol.
28%
34°C
$6 Vol.
17%
35°C
$0 Vol.
9%
36°C or higher
$37 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from global and regional models currently cluster peak temperatures in Qingdao around 31–33°C for July 27, reflecting modest uncertainty in the spread of outcomes and driving the close market-implied odds. Qingdao’s coastal position on the Yellow Sea introduces marine moderation via sea breezes that often cap daytime maxima below inland norms, while any strengthening southerly flow or high-pressure ridge could push readings higher. Recent observations show temperatures exceeding the late-July climatological average of 27–29°C, consistent with broader warm patterns across Shandong. Key variables include model divergence on cloud cover, humidity, and wind shifts ahead of potential frontal passages, with updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble runs expected to refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 25, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$63Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 25, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from global and regional models currently cluster peak temperatures in Qingdao around 31–33°C for July 27, reflecting modest uncertainty in the spread of outcomes and driving the close market-implied odds. Qingdao’s coastal position on the Yellow Sea introduces marine moderation via sea breezes that often cap daytime maxima below inland norms, while any strengthening southerly flow or high-pressure ridge could push readings higher. Recent observations show temperatures exceeding the late-July climatological average of 27–29°C, consistent with broader warm patterns across Shandong. Key variables include model divergence on cloud cover, humidity, and wind shifts ahead of potential frontal passages, with updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble runs expected to refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$63Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 25, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from global and regional models currently cluster peak temperatures in Qingdao around 31–33°C for July 27, reflecting modest uncertainty in the spread of outcomes and driving the close market-implied odds. Qingdao’s coastal position on the Yellow Sea introduces marine moderation via sea breezes that often cap daytime maxima below inland norms, while any strengthening southerly flow or high-pressure ridge could push readings higher. Recent observations show temperatures exceeding the late-July climatological average of 27–29°C, consistent with broader warm patterns across Shandong. Key variables include model divergence on cloud cover, humidity, and wind shifts ahead of potential frontal passages, with updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble runs expected to refine the range before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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