Recent southwest monsoon conditions over Singapore, with prevailing southeasterly winds and variable afternoon thundery showers, underpin the tight market-implied odds favoring 30°C or 31°C highs on July 25. These outcomes reflect trader assessment of typical July climatology—average daily maxima near 31°C—tempered by uncertainty over localized cloud cover and rainfall that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Drier intervals may allow brief exceedances toward 33°C, but official outlooks emphasize short-duration convection limiting sustained heat. Model consensus shows modest variability in steering patterns and humidity levels, with resolution hinging on precise observational maxima recorded by the National Environment Agency network.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Singapore on July 25?
Highest temperature in Singapore on July 25?
30°C 33%
31°C 30%
29°C 24%
32°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Jul 25, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
24%
30°C
33%
31°C
30%
32°C
14%
33°C
10%
34°C or higher
4%
30°C 33%
31°C 30%
29°C 24%
32°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Jul 25, 2026
24°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$52 Vol.
3%
28°C
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$256 Vol.
24%
30°C
$3 Vol.
33%
31°C
$16 Vol.
30%
32°C
$12 Vol.
14%
33°C
$0 Vol.
10%
34°C or higher
$26 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent southwest monsoon conditions over Singapore, with prevailing southeasterly winds and variable afternoon thundery showers, underpin the tight market-implied odds favoring 30°C or 31°C highs on July 25. These outcomes reflect trader assessment of typical July climatology—average daily maxima near 31°C—tempered by uncertainty over localized cloud cover and rainfall that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Drier intervals may allow brief exceedances toward 33°C, but official outlooks emphasize short-duration convection limiting sustained heat. Model consensus shows modest variability in steering patterns and humidity levels, with resolution hinging on precise observational maxima recorded by the National Environment Agency network.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$359Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent southwest monsoon conditions over Singapore, with prevailing southeasterly winds and variable afternoon thundery showers, underpin the tight market-implied odds favoring 30°C or 31°C highs on July 25. These outcomes reflect trader assessment of typical July climatology—average daily maxima near 31°C—tempered by uncertainty over localized cloud cover and rainfall that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Drier intervals may allow brief exceedances toward 33°C, but official outlooks emphasize short-duration convection limiting sustained heat. Model consensus shows modest variability in steering patterns and humidity levels, with resolution hinging on precise observational maxima recorded by the National Environment Agency network.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$359Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent southwest monsoon conditions over Singapore, with prevailing southeasterly winds and variable afternoon thundery showers, underpin the tight market-implied odds favoring 30°C or 31°C highs on July 25. These outcomes reflect trader assessment of typical July climatology—average daily maxima near 31°C—tempered by uncertainty over localized cloud cover and rainfall that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Drier intervals may allow brief exceedances toward 33°C, but official outlooks emphasize short-duration convection limiting sustained heat. Model consensus shows modest variability in steering patterns and humidity levels, with resolution hinging on precise observational maxima recorded by the National Environment Agency network.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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