Recent ensemble forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global models show Taipei under typical midsummer subtropical high pressure on July 23, with daytime maxima most likely reaching 35–36 °C. Slight differences in predicted cloud cover, afternoon convection, and any peripheral moisture from distant tropical systems create the narrow spread between these outcomes that traders have priced near 50 % combined. Historical July records and urban heat-island effects support occasional 37 °C spikes only under clearer, drier conditions that current guidance does not strongly favor, while probabilities for 34 °C or below rise mainly if widespread showers develop earlier than expected. Updated model runs and official daily briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift the tight market-implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Taipei on July 23?
Highest temperature in Taipei on July 23?
35°C 34%
34°C 26%
36°C 25%
33°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Jul 23, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
7%
34°C
26%
35°C
34%
36°C
25%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
1%
35°C 34%
34°C 26%
36°C 25%
33°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Jul 23, 2026
28°C or below
$305 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$305 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$569 Vol.
1%
31°C
$211 Vol.
1%
32°C
$69 Vol.
2%
33°C
$164 Vol.
7%
34°C
$16 Vol.
26%
35°C
$4,789 Vol.
34%
36°C
$343 Vol.
25%
37°C
$158 Vol.
4%
38°C or higher
$183 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global models show Taipei under typical midsummer subtropical high pressure on July 23, with daytime maxima most likely reaching 35–36 °C. Slight differences in predicted cloud cover, afternoon convection, and any peripheral moisture from distant tropical systems create the narrow spread between these outcomes that traders have priced near 50 % combined. Historical July records and urban heat-island effects support occasional 37 °C spikes only under clearer, drier conditions that current guidance does not strongly favor, while probabilities for 34 °C or below rise mainly if widespread showers develop earlier than expected. Updated model runs and official daily briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift the tight market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 21, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$7,112Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 21, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global models show Taipei under typical midsummer subtropical high pressure on July 23, with daytime maxima most likely reaching 35–36 °C. Slight differences in predicted cloud cover, afternoon convection, and any peripheral moisture from distant tropical systems create the narrow spread between these outcomes that traders have priced near 50 % combined. Historical July records and urban heat-island effects support occasional 37 °C spikes only under clearer, drier conditions that current guidance does not strongly favor, while probabilities for 34 °C or below rise mainly if widespread showers develop earlier than expected. Updated model runs and official daily briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift the tight market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,112Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 21, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global models show Taipei under typical midsummer subtropical high pressure on July 23, with daytime maxima most likely reaching 35–36 °C. Slight differences in predicted cloud cover, afternoon convection, and any peripheral moisture from distant tropical systems create the narrow spread between these outcomes that traders have priced near 50 % combined. Historical July records and urban heat-island effects support occasional 37 °C spikes only under clearer, drier conditions that current guidance does not strongly favor, while probabilities for 34 °C or below rise mainly if widespread showers develop earlier than expected. Updated model runs and official daily briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift the tight market-implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan