Trader sentiment for Taipei’s peak temperature on July 22 centers on official Central Weather Administration guidance showing a forecast high near 35°C under partly cloudy conditions with a 40-60% chance of afternoon thundershowers. Ensemble model runs exhibit modest spread due to typical July variability in monsoon moisture and urban heat retention, keeping 35°C and 36°C outcomes closely matched at 28% and 23% implied probability. Recent typhoon activity earlier in the month has left residual moisture that could either suppress or enhance daytime heating depending on exact cloud timing, while climatological baselines place late-July maxima around 33–34°C with occasional excursions above 35°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution between these two leading outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Taipei on July 22?
Highest temperature in Taipei on July 22?
35°C 36%
36°C 32%
34°C 17%
37°C or higher 10%
BARU
BARU
Jul 22, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
17%
35°C
36%
36°C
32%
37°C or higher
10%
35°C 36%
36°C 32%
34°C 17%
37°C or higher 10%
BARU
BARU
Jul 22, 2026
27°C or below
$116 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$112 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$108 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$530 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$550 Vol.
1%
32°C
$383 Vol.
1%
33°C
$386 Vol.
4%
34°C
$263 Vol.
17%
35°C
$5,975 Vol.
36%
36°C
$661 Vol.
32%
37°C or higher
$527 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Taipei’s peak temperature on July 22 centers on official Central Weather Administration guidance showing a forecast high near 35°C under partly cloudy conditions with a 40-60% chance of afternoon thundershowers. Ensemble model runs exhibit modest spread due to typical July variability in monsoon moisture and urban heat retention, keeping 35°C and 36°C outcomes closely matched at 28% and 23% implied probability. Recent typhoon activity earlier in the month has left residual moisture that could either suppress or enhance daytime heating depending on exact cloud timing, while climatological baselines place late-July maxima around 33–34°C with occasional excursions above 35°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution between these two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 20, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volume
$9,610Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 20, 2026, 12:11 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Taipei’s peak temperature on July 22 centers on official Central Weather Administration guidance showing a forecast high near 35°C under partly cloudy conditions with a 40-60% chance of afternoon thundershowers. Ensemble model runs exhibit modest spread due to typical July variability in monsoon moisture and urban heat retention, keeping 35°C and 36°C outcomes closely matched at 28% and 23% implied probability. Recent typhoon activity earlier in the month has left residual moisture that could either suppress or enhance daytime heating depending on exact cloud timing, while climatological baselines place late-July maxima around 33–34°C with occasional excursions above 35°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution between these two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,610Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 20, 2026, 12:11 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Taipei’s peak temperature on July 22 centers on official Central Weather Administration guidance showing a forecast high near 35°C under partly cloudy conditions with a 40-60% chance of afternoon thundershowers. Ensemble model runs exhibit modest spread due to typical July variability in monsoon moisture and urban heat retention, keeping 35°C and 36°C outcomes closely matched at 28% and 23% implied probability. Recent typhoon activity earlier in the month has left residual moisture that could either suppress or enhance daytime heating depending on exact cloud timing, while climatological baselines place late-July maxima around 33–34°C with occasional excursions above 35°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution between these two leading outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan