Trader consensus in the Sao Paulo July 23 highest-temperature market clusters around 21–22°C because numerical weather models and climatological baselines for the Southern Hemisphere winter consistently project daytime maxima near these values under stable high-pressure conditions typical of the dry season. Subtle differences between outcomes hinge on forecast details such as the timing and strength of any passing cold fronts, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects measured at official INMET stations, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. With probabilities spread across a narrow band, traders are weighting the modest uncertainty range inherent in short-range model runs against historical July averages of roughly 21–23°C and the absence of strong warming signals in current guidance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 23?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 23?
21°C 35%
22°C 24%
20°C 16%
23°C 15%
BARU
$13,948 Vol.
BARU
$13,948 Vol.
Jul 23, 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
16%
21°C
35%
22°C
24%
23°C
15%
24°C
8%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 35%
22°C 24%
20°C 16%
23°C 15%
BARU
$13,948 Vol.
BARU
$13,948 Vol.
Jul 23, 2026
17°C or below
$296 Vol.
1%
18°C
$136 Vol.
2%
19°C
$285 Vol.
4%
20°C
$934 Vol.
16%
21°C
$6,501 Vol.
35%
22°C
$420 Vol.
24%
23°C
$484 Vol.
15%
24°C
$361 Vol.
8%
25°C
$222 Vol.
1%
26°C
$2,015 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$2,294 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in the Sao Paulo July 23 highest-temperature market clusters around 21–22°C because numerical weather models and climatological baselines for the Southern Hemisphere winter consistently project daytime maxima near these values under stable high-pressure conditions typical of the dry season. Subtle differences between outcomes hinge on forecast details such as the timing and strength of any passing cold fronts, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects measured at official INMET stations, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. With probabilities spread across a narrow band, traders are weighting the modest uncertainty range inherent in short-range model runs against historical July averages of roughly 21–23°C and the absence of strong warming signals in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 21, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Volume
$13,948Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 21, 2026, 9:01 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in the Sao Paulo July 23 highest-temperature market clusters around 21–22°C because numerical weather models and climatological baselines for the Southern Hemisphere winter consistently project daytime maxima near these values under stable high-pressure conditions typical of the dry season. Subtle differences between outcomes hinge on forecast details such as the timing and strength of any passing cold fronts, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects measured at official INMET stations, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. With probabilities spread across a narrow band, traders are weighting the modest uncertainty range inherent in short-range model runs against historical July averages of roughly 21–23°C and the absence of strong warming signals in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,948Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 21, 2026, 9:01 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the Sao Paulo July 23 highest-temperature market clusters around 21–22°C because numerical weather models and climatological baselines for the Southern Hemisphere winter consistently project daytime maxima near these values under stable high-pressure conditions typical of the dry season. Subtle differences between outcomes hinge on forecast details such as the timing and strength of any passing cold fronts, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects measured at official INMET stations, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. With probabilities spread across a narrow band, traders are weighting the modest uncertainty range inherent in short-range model runs against historical July averages of roughly 21–23°C and the absence of strong warming signals in current guidance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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