Forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles currently favor overnight lows near 16°C for Paris on July 27, with trader consensus split among 16–18°C outcomes. Clear skies under a ridge of high pressure promote strong radiative cooling after sunset, while light winds limit turbulent mixing of warmer air from above the boundary layer. Small differences in predicted cloud cover timing, surface dew points, and urban heat-island retention can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated 48-hour model runs and any late changes in Atlantic low-pressure tracks remain the key variables that could move implied probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on July 27?
Lowest temperature in Paris on July 27?
16°C 36%
17°C 35%
18°C 32%
13°C or below 23%
BARU
BARU
Jul 27, 2026
13°C or below
23%
14°C
1%
15°C
15%
16°C
36%
17°C
35%
18°C
32%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
13%
22°C
6%
23°C or higher
9%
16°C 36%
17°C 35%
18°C 32%
13°C or below 23%
BARU
BARU
Jul 27, 2026
13°C or below
$174 Vol.
23%
14°C
$119 Vol.
1%
15°C
$124 Vol.
15%
16°C
$174 Vol.
36%
17°C
$174 Vol.
35%
18°C
$174 Vol.
32%
19°C
$37 Vol.
1%
20°C
$37 Vol.
1%
21°C
$37 Vol.
13%
22°C
$37 Vol.
6%
23°C or higher
$37 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles currently favor overnight lows near 16°C for Paris on July 27, with trader consensus split among 16–18°C outcomes. Clear skies under a ridge of high pressure promote strong radiative cooling after sunset, while light winds limit turbulent mixing of warmer air from above the boundary layer. Small differences in predicted cloud cover timing, surface dew points, and urban heat-island retention can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated 48-hour model runs and any late changes in Atlantic low-pressure tracks remain the key variables that could move implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,106Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles currently favor overnight lows near 16°C for Paris on July 27, with trader consensus split among 16–18°C outcomes. Clear skies under a ridge of high pressure promote strong radiative cooling after sunset, while light winds limit turbulent mixing of warmer air from above the boundary layer. Small differences in predicted cloud cover timing, surface dew points, and urban heat-island retention can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated 48-hour model runs and any late changes in Atlantic low-pressure tracks remain the key variables that could move implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,106Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles currently favor overnight lows near 16°C for Paris on July 27, with trader consensus split among 16–18°C outcomes. Clear skies under a ridge of high pressure promote strong radiative cooling after sunset, while light winds limit turbulent mixing of warmer air from above the boundary layer. Small differences in predicted cloud cover timing, surface dew points, and urban heat-island retention can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated 48-hour model runs and any late changes in Atlantic low-pressure tracks remain the key variables that could move implied probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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