Recent ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a narrow range of maximum temperatures around 20–22°C for São Paulo on June 11, driven by a passing cold front that introduces cooler, moist air and scattered rainfall, limiting daytime warming. This winter pattern aligns with climatological averages near 21°C but features model spread from subtle differences in frontal timing and cloud cover, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities for 20°C and 21°C outcomes. Official guidance from sources such as the National Institute of Meteorology highlights typical June variability in the region, with any shift in steering winds or precipitation timing capable of nudging the daily high by 1–2°C before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 11?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 11?
21°C 34%
20°C 34%
22°C 18%
19°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Jun 11, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
13%
20°C
34%
21°C
34%
22°C
18%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 34%
20°C 34%
22°C 18%
19°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Jun 11, 2026
15°C or below
$122 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$10 Vol.
1%
18°C
$278 Vol.
5%
19°C
$168 Vol.
13%
20°C
$65 Vol.
34%
21°C
$59 Vol.
34%
22°C
$30 Vol.
18%
23°C
$43 Vol.
2%
24°C
$168 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a narrow range of maximum temperatures around 20–22°C for São Paulo on June 11, driven by a passing cold front that introduces cooler, moist air and scattered rainfall, limiting daytime warming. This winter pattern aligns with climatological averages near 21°C but features model spread from subtle differences in frontal timing and cloud cover, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities for 20°C and 21°C outcomes. Official guidance from sources such as the National Institute of Meteorology highlights typical June variability in the region, with any shift in steering winds or precipitation timing capable of nudging the daily high by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$958Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a narrow range of maximum temperatures around 20–22°C for São Paulo on June 11, driven by a passing cold front that introduces cooler, moist air and scattered rainfall, limiting daytime warming. This winter pattern aligns with climatological averages near 21°C but features model spread from subtle differences in frontal timing and cloud cover, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities for 20°C and 21°C outcomes. Official guidance from sources such as the National Institute of Meteorology highlights typical June variability in the region, with any shift in steering winds or precipitation timing capable of nudging the daily high by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$958Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a narrow range of maximum temperatures around 20–22°C for São Paulo on June 11, driven by a passing cold front that introduces cooler, moist air and scattered rainfall, limiting daytime warming. This winter pattern aligns with climatological averages near 21°C but features model spread from subtle differences in frontal timing and cloud cover, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities for 20°C and 21°C outcomes. Official guidance from sources such as the National Institute of Meteorology highlights typical June variability in the region, with any shift in steering winds or precipitation timing capable of nudging the daily high by 1–2°C before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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