**Trader consensus for Tel Aviv’s July 11 daily maximum centers on the 30–32°C range because Israel Meteorological Service guidance and ECMWF ensembles place the central tendency near the July climatological average of 29–32°C under moderate westerly flow and typical sea-breeze circulation.** Afternoon onshore winds from the Mediterranean typically cap peaks by advecting cooler marine air, while the absence of strong easterly Sharav flow or upper-level ridging keeps temperatures from exceeding 33°C in current model runs. Recent short-range forecasts show partly cloudy skies and highs of 86–88°F (30–31°C), aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 31°C. Resolution hinges on the exact recorded maximum at the official Tel Aviv station; any late-model shift toward stronger subsidence or reduced sea breeze could nudge probabilities toward 32–33°C before Sunday’s close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 11?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 11?
31°C 46%
32°C 33%
30°C 11%
33°C 5%
BARU
$12,731 Vol.
BARU
$12,731 Vol.
Jul 11, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
11%
31°C
46%
32°C
33%
33°C
5%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 46%
32°C 33%
30°C 11%
33°C 5%
BARU
$12,731 Vol.
BARU
$12,731 Vol.
Jul 11, 2026
28°C or below
$166 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$562 Vol.
1%
30°C
$2,137 Vol.
11%
31°C
$2,908 Vol.
46%
32°C
$1,142 Vol.
33%
33°C
$642 Vol.
5%
34°C
$298 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$224 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$459 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$2,752 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$1,454 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus for Tel Aviv’s July 11 daily maximum centers on the 30–32°C range because Israel Meteorological Service guidance and ECMWF ensembles place the central tendency near the July climatological average of 29–32°C under moderate westerly flow and typical sea-breeze circulation.** Afternoon onshore winds from the Mediterranean typically cap peaks by advecting cooler marine air, while the absence of strong easterly Sharav flow or upper-level ridging keeps temperatures from exceeding 33°C in current model runs. Recent short-range forecasts show partly cloudy skies and highs of 86–88°F (30–31°C), aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 31°C. Resolution hinges on the exact recorded maximum at the official Tel Aviv station; any late-model shift toward stronger subsidence or reduced sea breeze could nudge probabilities toward 32–33°C before Sunday’s close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$12,731Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus for Tel Aviv’s July 11 daily maximum centers on the 30–32°C range because Israel Meteorological Service guidance and ECMWF ensembles place the central tendency near the July climatological average of 29–32°C under moderate westerly flow and typical sea-breeze circulation.** Afternoon onshore winds from the Mediterranean typically cap peaks by advecting cooler marine air, while the absence of strong easterly Sharav flow or upper-level ridging keeps temperatures from exceeding 33°C in current model runs. Recent short-range forecasts show partly cloudy skies and highs of 86–88°F (30–31°C), aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 31°C. Resolution hinges on the exact recorded maximum at the official Tel Aviv station; any late-model shift toward stronger subsidence or reduced sea breeze could nudge probabilities toward 32–33°C before Sunday’s close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,731Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus for Tel Aviv’s July 11 daily maximum centers on the 30–32°C range because Israel Meteorological Service guidance and ECMWF ensembles place the central tendency near the July climatological average of 29–32°C under moderate westerly flow and typical sea-breeze circulation.** Afternoon onshore winds from the Mediterranean typically cap peaks by advecting cooler marine air, while the absence of strong easterly Sharav flow or upper-level ridging keeps temperatures from exceeding 33°C in current model runs. Recent short-range forecasts show partly cloudy skies and highs of 86–88°F (30–31°C), aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 31°C. Resolution hinges on the exact recorded maximum at the official Tel Aviv station; any late-model shift toward stronger subsidence or reduced sea breeze could nudge probabilities toward 32–33°C before Sunday’s close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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