Current forecasts from multiple models converge on a 30–32°C high for Tel Aviv on July 3, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 31°C (40.5%) and 32°C (31%). Typical midsummer Mediterranean conditions feature strong solar heating under high pressure, tempered by persistent westerly sea breezes off the Mediterranean that limit extreme peaks near the coast. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on small variations in low-level wind speed, cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing within ensemble guidance; stronger onshore flow favors 31°C while lighter winds or slight warming aloft tilt toward 32°C. Historical July averages near 30°C and recent stable patterns without heat-wave signals keep higher or lower tails at low probabilities ahead of updated Israel Meteorological Service runs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 3?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 3?
31°C 51%
32°C 28%
30°C 17.3%
33°C 3.0%
BARU
$15,454 Vol.
BARU
$15,454 Vol.
Jul 3, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
17%
31°C
51%
32°C
28%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 51%
32°C 28%
30°C 17.3%
33°C 3.0%
BARU
$15,454 Vol.
BARU
$15,454 Vol.
Jul 3, 2026
27°C or below
$529 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$321 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$713 Vol.
1%
30°C
$2,757 Vol.
17%
31°C
$7,080 Vol.
51%
32°C
$1,921 Vol.
28%
33°C
$603 Vol.
3%
34°C
$343 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$326 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$645 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$216 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models converge on a 30–32°C high for Tel Aviv on July 3, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 31°C (40.5%) and 32°C (31%). Typical midsummer Mediterranean conditions feature strong solar heating under high pressure, tempered by persistent westerly sea breezes off the Mediterranean that limit extreme peaks near the coast. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on small variations in low-level wind speed, cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing within ensemble guidance; stronger onshore flow favors 31°C while lighter winds or slight warming aloft tilt toward 32°C. Historical July averages near 30°C and recent stable patterns without heat-wave signals keep higher or lower tails at low probabilities ahead of updated Israel Meteorological Service runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$15,454Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models converge on a 30–32°C high for Tel Aviv on July 3, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 31°C (40.5%) and 32°C (31%). Typical midsummer Mediterranean conditions feature strong solar heating under high pressure, tempered by persistent westerly sea breezes off the Mediterranean that limit extreme peaks near the coast. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on small variations in low-level wind speed, cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing within ensemble guidance; stronger onshore flow favors 31°C while lighter winds or slight warming aloft tilt toward 32°C. Historical July averages near 30°C and recent stable patterns without heat-wave signals keep higher or lower tails at low probabilities ahead of updated Israel Meteorological Service runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,454Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models converge on a 30–32°C high for Tel Aviv on July 3, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 31°C (40.5%) and 32°C (31%). Typical midsummer Mediterranean conditions feature strong solar heating under high pressure, tempered by persistent westerly sea breezes off the Mediterranean that limit extreme peaks near the coast. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on small variations in low-level wind speed, cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing within ensemble guidance; stronger onshore flow favors 31°C while lighter winds or slight warming aloft tilt toward 32°C. Historical July averages near 30°C and recent stable patterns without heat-wave signals keep higher or lower tails at low probabilities ahead of updated Israel Meteorological Service runs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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