Recent summer 2026 forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate above-normal temperatures across Japan through August, driven by a strengthened Pacific High promoting subsidence and clear skies over Tokyo. This setup supports daytime highs typically reaching 31–35°C amid high humidity, consistent with AccuWeather projections of 28–37°C ranges for the month and historical August averages near 31°C. With only days until August 2, short-term model runs show modest day-to-day variability from cloud cover or sea breezes that could cap or boost the peak by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–35°C. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts in the coming 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 2?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 2?
34°C 33%
35°C 30%
33°C 18%
36°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Aug 2, 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
5%
33°C
18%
34°C
33%
35°C
30%
36°C
15%
37°C
5%
38°C
5%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 33%
35°C 30%
33°C 18%
36°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Aug 2, 2026
30°C or below
$241 Vol.
1%
31°C
$116 Vol.
3%
32°C
$23 Vol.
5%
33°C
$83 Vol.
18%
34°C
$117 Vol.
33%
35°C
$114 Vol.
30%
36°C
$58 Vol.
15%
37°C
$20 Vol.
5%
38°C
$79 Vol.
5%
39°C
$163 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$306 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent summer 2026 forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate above-normal temperatures across Japan through August, driven by a strengthened Pacific High promoting subsidence and clear skies over Tokyo. This setup supports daytime highs typically reaching 31–35°C amid high humidity, consistent with AccuWeather projections of 28–37°C ranges for the month and historical August averages near 31°C. With only days until August 2, short-term model runs show modest day-to-day variability from cloud cover or sea breezes that could cap or boost the peak by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–35°C. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts in the coming 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$1,321Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent summer 2026 forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate above-normal temperatures across Japan through August, driven by a strengthened Pacific High promoting subsidence and clear skies over Tokyo. This setup supports daytime highs typically reaching 31–35°C amid high humidity, consistent with AccuWeather projections of 28–37°C ranges for the month and historical August averages near 31°C. With only days until August 2, short-term model runs show modest day-to-day variability from cloud cover or sea breezes that could cap or boost the peak by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–35°C. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts in the coming 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,321Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent summer 2026 forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate above-normal temperatures across Japan through August, driven by a strengthened Pacific High promoting subsidence and clear skies over Tokyo. This setup supports daytime highs typically reaching 31–35°C amid high humidity, consistent with AccuWeather projections of 28–37°C ranges for the month and historical August averages near 31°C. With only days until August 2, short-term model runs show modest day-to-day variability from cloud cover or sea breezes that could cap or boost the peak by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–35°C. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts in the coming 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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