Official temperature measurements from Environment Canada and Toronto Pearson Airport confirm a maximum of 24°C or below on June 9, driving the 99.7% market-implied probability for that outcome. Pre-event forecasts from multiple models anticipated cool, unsettled conditions with a daytime high near 20°C amid showers, aligning with early-June climatology that typically sees highs around 22–24°C before peak summer warmth. This observed data, rather than projections, underpins trader consensus, as resolution relies on verified daily maxima. Scenarios that could have challenged the positioning include an unexpected warm surge from a stalled high-pressure system or model errors in the steering flow, though none materialized in the final observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Toronto on June 9?
24°C or below 99.7%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$63,500 Vol.
$63,500 Vol.
24°C or below
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
24°C or below 99.7%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$63,500 Vol.
$63,500 Vol.
24°C or below
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official temperature measurements from Environment Canada and Toronto Pearson Airport confirm a maximum of 24°C or below on June 9, driving the 99.7% market-implied probability for that outcome. Pre-event forecasts from multiple models anticipated cool, unsettled conditions with a daytime high near 20°C amid showers, aligning with early-June climatology that typically sees highs around 22–24°C before peak summer warmth. This observed data, rather than projections, underpins trader consensus, as resolution relies on verified daily maxima. Scenarios that could have challenged the positioning include an unexpected warm surge from a stalled high-pressure system or model errors in the steering flow, though none materialized in the final observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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