Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and national meteorological services indicate maximum temperatures in Warsaw on July 25 most likely in the 24–26°C range, with the market's tight clustering around 25°C reflecting genuine model spread and limited differentiation among runs. Key variables include the strength and timing of any Atlantic trough, potential for increased cloud cover or scattered showers that could cap daytime heating, and modest variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind. Historical July averages near 24–25°C provide context, while the absence of strong high-pressure dominance or heat advection keeps probabilities for extremes low. Updated model guidance and official IMGW briefings in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Warsaw on July 25?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on July 25?
25°C 41%
24°C 30%
26°C 22%
23°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Jul 25, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
8%
24°C
30%
25°C
41%
26°C
22%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 41%
24°C 30%
26°C 22%
23°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Jul 25, 2026
20°C or below
$71 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$276 Vol.
1%
22°C
$91 Vol.
2%
23°C
$164 Vol.
8%
24°C
$90 Vol.
30%
25°C
$108 Vol.
41%
26°C
$113 Vol.
22%
27°C
$70 Vol.
3%
28°C
$179 Vol.
2%
29°C
$81 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$66 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and national meteorological services indicate maximum temperatures in Warsaw on July 25 most likely in the 24–26°C range, with the market's tight clustering around 25°C reflecting genuine model spread and limited differentiation among runs. Key variables include the strength and timing of any Atlantic trough, potential for increased cloud cover or scattered showers that could cap daytime heating, and modest variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind. Historical July averages near 24–25°C provide context, while the absence of strong high-pressure dominance or heat advection keeps probabilities for extremes low. Updated model guidance and official IMGW briefings in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,308Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and national meteorological services indicate maximum temperatures in Warsaw on July 25 most likely in the 24–26°C range, with the market's tight clustering around 25°C reflecting genuine model spread and limited differentiation among runs. Key variables include the strength and timing of any Atlantic trough, potential for increased cloud cover or scattered showers that could cap daytime heating, and modest variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind. Historical July averages near 24–25°C provide context, while the absence of strong high-pressure dominance or heat advection keeps probabilities for extremes low. Updated model guidance and official IMGW briefings in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,308Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and national meteorological services indicate maximum temperatures in Warsaw on July 25 most likely in the 24–26°C range, with the market's tight clustering around 25°C reflecting genuine model spread and limited differentiation among runs. Key variables include the strength and timing of any Atlantic trough, potential for increased cloud cover or scattered showers that could cap daytime heating, and modest variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind. Historical July averages near 24–25°C provide context, while the absence of strong high-pressure dominance or heat advection keeps probabilities for extremes low. Updated model guidance and official IMGW briefings in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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