Global seismic activity follows a relatively stable long-term rate tracked by the USGS, with roughly 10–15 magnitude 5.5+ events typically recorded worldwide each week amid random clustering on major fault systems. Trader sentiment reflects this baseline alongside aftershock potential from the June 8, 2026, magnitude 7.8 Mindanao earthquake, which can elevate counts in the short term while model consensus on exact weekly totals remains limited by tectonic variability. Recent monitoring shows elevated M4.5+ activity in mid-June, supporting the broad probability spread across outcomes from five or fewer to more than eleven events.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHow many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 22 - June 28?
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 22 - June 28?
>11 62%
11 21%
10 15.9%
9 8.1%
$32,538 Vol.
$32,538 Vol.
Jun 28, 2026
≤5
<1%
6
<1%
7
1%
8
3%
9
8%
10
14%
11
21%
>11
63%
>11 62%
11 21%
10 15.9%
9 8.1%
$32,538 Vol.
$32,538 Vol.
Jun 28, 2026
≤5
$11,514 Vol.
<1%
6
$3,862 Vol.
<1%
7
$2,840 Vol.
1%
8
$1,847 Vol.
3%
9
$1,227 Vol.
8%
10
$1,394 Vol.
14%
11
$1,389 Vol.
21%
>11
$8,464 Vol.
63%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic activity follows a relatively stable long-term rate tracked by the USGS, with roughly 10–15 magnitude 5.5+ events typically recorded worldwide each week amid random clustering on major fault systems. Trader sentiment reflects this baseline alongside aftershock potential from the June 8, 2026, magnitude 7.8 Mindanao earthquake, which can elevate counts in the short term while model consensus on exact weekly totals remains limited by tectonic variability. Recent monitoring shows elevated M4.5+ activity in mid-June, supporting the broad probability spread across outcomes from five or fewer to more than eleven events.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 22, 2026, 11:18 AM ET
Volume
$32,538Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 22, 2026, 11:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic activity follows a relatively stable long-term rate tracked by the USGS, with roughly 10–15 magnitude 5.5+ events typically recorded worldwide each week amid random clustering on major fault systems. Trader sentiment reflects this baseline alongside aftershock potential from the June 8, 2026, magnitude 7.8 Mindanao earthquake, which can elevate counts in the short term while model consensus on exact weekly totals remains limited by tectonic variability. Recent monitoring shows elevated M4.5+ activity in mid-June, supporting the broad probability spread across outcomes from five or fewer to more than eleven events.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volume
$32,538Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 22, 2026, 11:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Global seismic activity follows a relatively stable long-term rate tracked by the USGS, with roughly 10–15 magnitude 5.5+ events typically recorded worldwide each week amid random clustering on major fault systems. Trader sentiment reflects this baseline alongside aftershock potential from the June 8, 2026, magnitude 7.8 Mindanao earthquake, which can elevate counts in the short term while model consensus on exact weekly totals remains limited by tectonic variability. Recent monitoring shows elevated M4.5+ activity in mid-June, supporting the broad probability spread across outcomes from five or fewer to more than eleven events.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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