Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election consistently places Shas in the 7–10 seat range, reflecting voter erosion tied to the ultra-Orthodox draft exemption controversy. The party's hardline stance on conscription has driven traditional Sephardi support toward Likud, Otzma Yehudit, and Yashar, prompting Shas to launch campaign materials featuring IDF soldiers and add a reserve officer to its slate. Internal adjustments, including leadership consultations and candidate list finalization, have not reversed the slide from 11 seats in the prior election. Trader consensus on 8–9 seats aligns with these steady survey averages, while narrower bands account for residual uncertainty around turnout among Haredi and Mizrahi voters.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui8-9 38%
10-11 26%
6-7 19%
12+ 10%
BARU
BARU
Nov 30, 2026
<6
5%
6-7
19%
8-9
38%
10-11
20%
12+
10%
8-9 38%
10-11 26%
6-7 19%
12+ 10%
BARU
BARU
Nov 30, 2026
<6
$485 Vol.
5%
6-7
$1,392 Vol.
19%
8-9
$939 Vol.
38%
10-11
$740 Vol.
20%
12+
$1,573 Vol.
10%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election consistently places Shas in the 7–10 seat range, reflecting voter erosion tied to the ultra-Orthodox draft exemption controversy. The party's hardline stance on conscription has driven traditional Sephardi support toward Likud, Otzma Yehudit, and Yashar, prompting Shas to launch campaign materials featuring IDF soldiers and add a reserve officer to its slate. Internal adjustments, including leadership consultations and candidate list finalization, have not reversed the slide from 11 seats in the prior election. Trader consensus on 8–9 seats aligns with these steady survey averages, while narrower bands account for residual uncertainty around turnout among Haredi and Mizrahi voters.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$5,130Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election consistently places Shas in the 7–10 seat range, reflecting voter erosion tied to the ultra-Orthodox draft exemption controversy. The party's hardline stance on conscription has driven traditional Sephardi support toward Likud, Otzma Yehudit, and Yashar, prompting Shas to launch campaign materials featuring IDF soldiers and add a reserve officer to its slate. Internal adjustments, including leadership consultations and candidate list finalization, have not reversed the slide from 11 seats in the prior election. Trader consensus on 8–9 seats aligns with these steady survey averages, while narrower bands account for residual uncertainty around turnout among Haredi and Mizrahi voters.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$5,130Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election consistently places Shas in the 7–10 seat range, reflecting voter erosion tied to the ultra-Orthodox draft exemption controversy. The party's hardline stance on conscription has driven traditional Sephardi support toward Likud, Otzma Yehudit, and Yashar, prompting Shas to launch campaign materials featuring IDF soldiers and add a reserve officer to its slate. Internal adjustments, including leadership consultations and candidate list finalization, have not reversed the slide from 11 seats in the prior election. Trader consensus on 8–9 seats aligns with these steady survey averages, while narrower bands account for residual uncertainty around turnout among Haredi and Mizrahi voters.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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