Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts heavily toward "No" at 73% implied probability for Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet getting engaged in 2026, driven by the absence of any confirmed public announcement or visible engagement ring after three years of dating. Recent courtside PDA at a New York Knicks playoff game on April 28 and a shared beach vacation in late March underscore their ongoing relationship stability, quashing periodic breakup rumors, but insider reports of a $300,000 ring purchase and marriage discussions remain unverified tabloid speculation without official statements. High uncertainty persists in celebrity personal matters, with no major catalysts like joint red carpet proposals materializing midway through the year.