As South Korean President since winning the June 2025 snap election, Lee Jae-myung faces multiple pending criminal cases, including election law violations, but trader consensus prices an arrest before 2027 at just 17% due to his Democratic Party's recent push—announced in early May 2026—for legislation granting special prosecutors authority to withdraw charges across all eight cases. Courts have previously denied arrest warrants citing insufficient flight risk, and no new indictments or detentions have emerged amid backlash from legal experts decrying the bills as unconstitutional threats to judicial independence. This political insulation, alongside historical reluctance to detain sitting presidents, underpins the strong "No" positioning.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
$312,108 Vol.
$312,108 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$312,108 Vol.
$312,108 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As South Korean President since winning the June 2025 snap election, Lee Jae-myung faces multiple pending criminal cases, including election law violations, but trader consensus prices an arrest before 2027 at just 17% due to his Democratic Party's recent push—announced in early May 2026—for legislation granting special prosecutors authority to withdraw charges across all eight cases. Courts have previously denied arrest warrants citing insufficient flight risk, and no new indictments or detentions have emerged amid backlash from legal experts decrying the bills as unconstitutional threats to judicial independence. This political insulation, alongside historical reluctance to detain sitting presidents, underpins the strong "No" positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
Volume
$312,108Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As South Korean President since winning the June 2025 snap election, Lee Jae-myung faces multiple pending criminal cases, including election law violations, but trader consensus prices an arrest before 2027 at just 17% due to his Democratic Party's recent push—announced in early May 2026—for legislation granting special prosecutors authority to withdraw charges across all eight cases. Courts have previously denied arrest warrants citing insufficient flight risk, and no new indictments or detentions have emerged amid backlash from legal experts decrying the bills as unconstitutional threats to judicial independence. This political insulation, alongside historical reluctance to detain sitting presidents, underpins the strong "No" positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$312,282Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...As South Korean President since winning the June 2025 snap election, Lee Jae-myung faces multiple pending criminal cases, including election law violations, but trader consensus prices an arrest before 2027 at just 17% due to his Democratic Party's recent push—announced in early May 2026—for legislation granting special prosecutors authority to withdraw charges across all eight cases. Courts have previously denied arrest warrants citing insufficient flight risk, and no new indictments or detentions have emerged amid backlash from legal experts decrying the bills as unconstitutional threats to judicial independence. This political insulation, alongside historical reluctance to detain sitting presidents, underpins the strong "No" positioning.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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