Strong market consensus at 22°C reflects the latest Met Office observational data and forecast model runs showing London locked in a stable warm air mass during the ongoing heatwave, with urban heat island effects and light winds limiting overnight radiative cooling to produce a minimum near that threshold. High daytime maxima near 34°C have transitioned into mild evening conditions without significant frontal passages or cloud cover changes that would accelerate temperature drops. Official guidance from the Met Office indicates minimal variability in the final hours, aligning trader sentiment with verified measurements over model projections. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or unforecast thundery activity could still shift the recorded low, though current atmospheric patterns make such developments unlikely before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in London on August 14?
Lowest temperature in London on August 14?
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$27,771 Vol.
$27,771 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$27,771 Vol.
$27,771 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
16°C or below
$1,387 Vol.
No
17°C
$525 Vol.
No
18°C
$10,917 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,486 Vol.
No
20°C
$794 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,205 Vol.
No
22°C
$6,962 Vol.
Yes
23°C
$2,045 Vol.
No
24°C
$675 Vol.
No
25°C
$459 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$316 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong market consensus at 22°C reflects the latest Met Office observational data and forecast model runs showing London locked in a stable warm air mass during the ongoing heatwave, with urban heat island effects and light winds limiting overnight radiative cooling to produce a minimum near that threshold. High daytime maxima near 34°C have transitioned into mild evening conditions without significant frontal passages or cloud cover changes that would accelerate temperature drops. Official guidance from the Met Office indicates minimal variability in the final hours, aligning trader sentiment with verified measurements over model projections. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or unforecast thundery activity could still shift the recorded low, though current atmospheric patterns make such developments unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ET
Volume
$27,771Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: Yes
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: Yes
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong market consensus at 22°C reflects the latest Met Office observational data and forecast model runs showing London locked in a stable warm air mass during the ongoing heatwave, with urban heat island effects and light winds limiting overnight radiative cooling to produce a minimum near that threshold. High daytime maxima near 34°C have transitioned into mild evening conditions without significant frontal passages or cloud cover changes that would accelerate temperature drops. Official guidance from the Met Office indicates minimal variability in the final hours, aligning trader sentiment with verified measurements over model projections. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or unforecast thundery activity could still shift the recorded low, though current atmospheric patterns make such developments unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,771Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: Yes
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: Yes
Strong market consensus at 22°C reflects the latest Met Office observational data and forecast model runs showing London locked in a stable warm air mass during the ongoing heatwave, with urban heat island effects and light winds limiting overnight radiative cooling to produce a minimum near that threshold. High daytime maxima near 34°C have transitioned into mild evening conditions without significant frontal passages or cloud cover changes that would accelerate temperature drops. Official guidance from the Met Office indicates minimal variability in the final hours, aligning trader sentiment with verified measurements over model projections. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or unforecast thundery activity could still shift the recorded low, though current atmospheric patterns make such developments unlikely before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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