Trader consensus clusters tightly around 80–83°F for Miami’s July 20 low, reflecting the subtropical marine influence that typically caps overnight cooling near 78–82°F in mid-July. High humidity and frequent cloud cover suppress radiative heat loss, while Atlantic sea-surface temperatures near 86°F maintain a warm boundary layer. Recent model runs show no strong cold front or unusual subsidence that would allow deeper drops, keeping sub-76°F outcomes below 35% implied probability. Forecasters from NOAA and local NWS offices highlight steady easterly flow and typical diurnal ranges of 8–12°F, with any variance hinging on tonight’s cloud timing and wind speed. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Miami on July 20?
Lowest temperature in Miami on July 20?
82-83°F 33%
80-81°F 29%
78-79°F 26%
84-85°F 11%
BARU
BARU
Jul 20, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
33%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
1%
82-83°F 33%
80-81°F 29%
78-79°F 26%
84-85°F 11%
BARU
BARU
Jul 20, 2026
71°F or below
$198 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$158 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$314 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$133 Vol.
5%
78-79°F
$45 Vol.
26%
80-81°F
$1,187 Vol.
29%
82-83°F
$120 Vol.
33%
84-85°F
$31 Vol.
11%
86-87°F
$180 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$263 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$2,033 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 80–83°F for Miami’s July 20 low, reflecting the subtropical marine influence that typically caps overnight cooling near 78–82°F in mid-July. High humidity and frequent cloud cover suppress radiative heat loss, while Atlantic sea-surface temperatures near 86°F maintain a warm boundary layer. Recent model runs show no strong cold front or unusual subsidence that would allow deeper drops, keeping sub-76°F outcomes below 35% implied probability. Forecasters from NOAA and local NWS offices highlight steady easterly flow and typical diurnal ranges of 8–12°F, with any variance hinging on tonight’s cloud timing and wind speed. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 18, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$4,665Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 18, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 80–83°F for Miami’s July 20 low, reflecting the subtropical marine influence that typically caps overnight cooling near 78–82°F in mid-July. High humidity and frequent cloud cover suppress radiative heat loss, while Atlantic sea-surface temperatures near 86°F maintain a warm boundary layer. Recent model runs show no strong cold front or unusual subsidence that would allow deeper drops, keeping sub-76°F outcomes below 35% implied probability. Forecasters from NOAA and local NWS offices highlight steady easterly flow and typical diurnal ranges of 8–12°F, with any variance hinging on tonight’s cloud timing and wind speed. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,665Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 18, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 80–83°F for Miami’s July 20 low, reflecting the subtropical marine influence that typically caps overnight cooling near 78–82°F in mid-July. High humidity and frequent cloud cover suppress radiative heat loss, while Atlantic sea-surface temperatures near 86°F maintain a warm boundary layer. Recent model runs show no strong cold front or unusual subsidence that would allow deeper drops, keeping sub-76°F outcomes below 35% implied probability. Forecasters from NOAA and local NWS offices highlight steady easterly flow and typical diurnal ranges of 8–12°F, with any variance hinging on tonight’s cloud timing and wind speed. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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