Forecasts from NOAA and private models indicate Miami's overnight low on June 26 will most likely fall in the upper 70s to low 80s°F, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities around 80–83°F. Persistent summer trade winds and Atlantic moisture maintain elevated humidity that limits radiational cooling, while sea-surface temperatures near 84°F provide a warm boundary layer that anchors minimums above seasonal norms. Recent model runs show limited overnight cloud cover and only isolated showers, reducing the chance of sharper drops into the mid-70s. A possible tropical moisture surge late on the 25th could add a degree or two of warmth, tightening the distribution between the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins while keeping sub-76°F outcomes secondary. Updated National Weather Service guidance tonight will further refine trader positioning ahead of the daily minimum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Miami on June 26?
80-81°F 87.9%
78-79°F 7.1%
76-77°F 2.9%
72-73°F <1%
$15,816 Vol.
$15,816 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
88%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 87.9%
78-79°F 7.1%
76-77°F 2.9%
72-73°F <1%
$15,816 Vol.
$15,816 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
88%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from NOAA and private models indicate Miami's overnight low on June 26 will most likely fall in the upper 70s to low 80s°F, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities around 80–83°F. Persistent summer trade winds and Atlantic moisture maintain elevated humidity that limits radiational cooling, while sea-surface temperatures near 84°F provide a warm boundary layer that anchors minimums above seasonal norms. Recent model runs show limited overnight cloud cover and only isolated showers, reducing the chance of sharper drops into the mid-70s. A possible tropical moisture surge late on the 25th could add a degree or two of warmth, tightening the distribution between the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins while keeping sub-76°F outcomes secondary. Updated National Weather Service guidance tonight will further refine trader positioning ahead of the daily minimum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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